Preregistration status

One row per study unit of the programme, each carrying the state of its own registration. The five states are the ones the theory-level registration fixes, and each is read from the unit’s own row rather than from a neighbouring unit that would inform it: NONE; DESIGN DRAFT; DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED; SUBMITTED, PENDING APPROVAL; and REGISTERED. The study registrations are written, dated, and prepared as draft registrations awaiting human submission: the programme’s rule is that the AI prepares drafts and only a human files, so a registration reaches the registry by a human hand or it does not reach it at all. This version of the table reports no results at all; it reports state, and nothing about how any unit came out.

Preregistration dashboard

The programme at a glance

Snapshot approved on 23 September 2026. Generated 23 September 2026. Reflects records up to 16 September 2026. Registration states use the theory registration's own vocabulary (10.17605/OSF.IO/P8CKQ, version 1.102).

Studies listed
76
Preregistered by timestamp
65
DESIGN DRAFT
75
REGISTERED
1
Each row is one study unit, with its state in the registration's own status vocabulary. The registration column says what has been lodged with a registry; the evidence column reports no result until a registered test has an admissible result.
StudyKindCan decideRegistrationEvidence
01-study-eclipse The Corrector-Class Contrast: A Preregistered Matched Comparison of Residual-Error Decay Under Same-Class and Cross-Class OversightStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 964465 of 28 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
02-study-k The Critical Reinvestment Ratio: A Preregistered Titration of Where Self-Referential Improvement Stops Paying in Recursive Artefact LoopsStudyP2PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTDraft staged on OSF, all gate items green, awaiting human submissionNo result reported
03-study-ai Mapping the Stability Frontier: Does the Boundary of Stable Self-Correction in the (alpha, gamma) Plane Follow the Reciprocal-Shortfall Law?StudyP16PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 2 September 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 964465 of 28 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
04-study-k2 study-k2: the stable-growth threshold under co-correctionStudyNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
05-study-ad Estimating the Correction Exponent on Real Correctors: How Corrective Strength Actually Grows with the Capability of the System Being CorrectedStudyP6, P11PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTDraft staged on OSF, awaiting human submissionNo result reported
06-study-ac What Class of Corrector Is Deployed AI Alignment Actually Using? A Preregistered ClassificationStudyP7PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTDraft staged on OSF, awaiting human submissionNo result reported
08-study-ah Do Same-Substrate Correctors Share Blind Spots? A Prospective Test of the Independence Premise Behind the Ceiling's gamma_C = 1/2, With a Cross-Substrate Attribution Contrast, on Future Operation of a Separate SystemStudyP17PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
09-paper-x Does Correction Out-Scale Drift? A Prospective Within-Programme Test of the Co-Scaling Stability Condition in Artefact-Mediated Recursive ImprovementPaper follow-onP4PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
10-study-f The Critical Correction Ratio: A Preregistered Titration of How Much Integrity Correction Is Required to Bound Drift in Recursively Improving SystemsStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
11-study-r Reinforcement Co-Scaling: A Preregistered Test of Whether the Reinforcement Frequency Required to Hold a Stated Value Rises With Reasoning DepthStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
12-study-m The Stability Window: A Preregistered Cross-Domain Test of Whether Persisting Systems Share a Bounded Growth ExponentStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTDraft staged on OSF; prior-knowledge register authored and hashed; census freeze remainsNo result reported
13-study-am Discriminating the Ceiling's Functional Form Away From One Half: A Prospective Three-Way Test of 1/(1 - gamma) Against 1/gamma Against a Constant Boundary on Systems Whose Correction Exponent Is Engineered Off the Meeting PointStudyP20PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 2 September 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 964465 of 28 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
14-study-aa Can a Corrector Out-Scale Its Own Substrate? A Preregistered Test of the Substrate Ceiling on Leverage Exponents in Recursive SystemsStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
15-study-af The Sign of the Correction Exponent's Derivative in Capability: A Prospective Estimation of Whether the ARC Ceiling Is a Line or a CliffStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
16-study-ag Two Routes to One Ceiling: A Prospective Same-System Test That the Growth Exponent Sustained by the Leverage Fraction Respects the Ceiling Set by the Correction ExponentStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
17-theory The ARC Theory · Theory-Level Predictions for Recursive Self-Improvement and AI Alignment: Twenty-Two Severable Propositions Registered Before Any Admissible Confirmatory OutcomeTheory-level registrationNone assignedREGISTERED 10.17605/OSF.IO/P8CKQRegistered 8 September 2026 at version 1.100; updated to version 1.102 on 13 September 2026No result reported
18-arc-align-instrument Human-expert validation of the ARC-Align misalignment scorer: agreement, bias and failure modesInstrument validationNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTDraft staged on OSF, awaiting human submissionNo result reported
19-study-y Cross-Family Re-Scoring of the ARC/Eden Corpus: Does the Programme's Own Blinding Finding Overturn Its Own Earlier Results?StudyP10PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTDraft staged on OSF, awaiting human submissionNo result reported
20-study-t The acoustic time crystal as the ARC framework's physics cross-over: registered form discrimination, the transient engine exponent, the zero-factor dose-response, and the activity-drag boundaryStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 964465 of 28 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
21-paper-origin-scaling Do the Predicted Exponents Hold? A Prospective Equivalence Test of the Dimensional Ladder Against Frozen Point PredictionsPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
22-study-i The Load-Bearing Test: A Preregistered Ablation Asymmetry Study of Whether Integrity Structure Contributes to or Subtracts from CapabilityStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
23-paper-foundational Does One Exponent Family Span Unrelated Domains? A Cross-Domain Test With a Registered Domain-Shuffling NullPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
24-paper-i The Recursive-Depth Exponent in Artefact-Mediated Recursion: A Prospective Estimation of alpha in U = I x R^alpha With Named Nulls Registered in AdvancePaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
25-paper-iii Is the Alignment Scaling Exponent Approximately Zero? A Preregistered Re-estimation From the Programme's Own Six-Model Blinded DatasetPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
26-paper-vi Prospective replication of the constant-advantage finding in system complexityPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
27-paper-vi Does Entangling Safety With Capability Extend Time to Collapse? A Preregistered Survival Analysis of Recursive Self-Modification at Forty Seeds Per ConditionPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
28-paper-xii Does the Blinding Effect Survive on Someone Else's Benchmark? A Preregistered Rescoring of an Established Public Benchmark Under Blinded and Unblinded ConditionsPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
29-study-a Does Alignment Scale With Capability? A Cross-Sectional Test Across Frontier Model FamiliesStudyP19PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
30-study-ab How Fast Do Self-Improving Systems Compress Their Own Iteration Time? A Preregistered Estimation of the Self-Acceleration ExponentStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
31-study-aj The Balance Exponent in GenomesStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 6 September 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 964465 of 28 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
32-study-ak The Balance Exponent in ScienceStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 6 September 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 964465 of 28 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
33-study-al The Cross-Substrate Margin: the Graduation TestStudyNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
34-study-e Sequential Versus Parallel Recursion at Matched Compute: A Preregistered Test of Form-Dependent Capability ScalingStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
35-study-eclipse-m study-eclipse-m: the family ratio grid, a follow-up of study-eclipseStudyNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
36-study-j Repurposing Resistance: A Preregistered Measurement of Whether Benign Capability Survives Adversarial Removal of Safety StructureStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
37-study-l The Allocation Governor: A Preregistered Test of Whether Enforced Integrity Correction Caps the Capability Exponent by Competing for the Reinvestment BudgetStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
38-study-o Tests of the programme's scaling predictions in leaf venation and in effectively one-dimensional organismsStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
39-study-s5 Super-Linear Coherence Scaling in a Classical Time Crystal: A Preregistered Analysis Plan for an Existing, Unaccessed DatasetStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
40-paper-v Task purpose against grand purpose: does the identity layer carry measurable weight?Paper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
41-study-d Does External Oversight Degrade With Recursive Depth While Embedded Correction Holds? A Preregistered Depth-Interaction TestStudyP21PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
42-study-eden Does It Matter Where the Gate Sits? A Preregistered Within-System Test of Pre-Computation Versus Post-Computation Alignment Checking, With a Self-Modifying Organism ArmStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
43-study-g Genesis Priority and Identity Framing: A Preregistered Test of Whether Value Position and Value Form Change Behavioural Persistence Under Adversarial and Recursive PressureStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
44-study-n Self-Maintained Correction: A Preregistered Test of Whether Genesis Framing Changes the Correction Share a System Selects for Itself Under Competitive PressureStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
45-study-u The Genesis-Governor Unification Test: A Preregistered Factorial Test of Whether Co-Scaling Correction and Identity-Framed Genesis Are Jointly Necessary for Alignment PersistenceStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
46-arc-align-instrument Does blinding change the measured answer? A meta-analysis of blinding deltas across an independent research programmeInstrument validationNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
48-arc-align-instrument Are Reasoning-Depth Controls Comparable Across Providers? A Realised-Use Equivalence Study of Depth Settings in AI Alignment EvaluationInstrument validationNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
49-arc-align-instrument Does an AI Misalignment Index Distinguish Integrity Failure From Ordinary Incompetence? A Discriminant-Validity Study of a Scoring InstrumentInstrument validationNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
50-paper-hrih Can the Creation Hypothesis Be Adjudicated? A Frozen Prediction Ledger With Pre-Committed Criteria, Deadlines and a Falsification ClausePaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
51-paper-iv-a Are the Alignment Response Classes Real? A Split-Half and Repeat-Run Stability Test of a Three-Class PartitionPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
52-paper-iv-c Are the Public Prompts Contaminated? A Preregistered Public-Versus-Sealed Comparison Using the Benchmark's Own HoldoutsPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
53-paper-iv-d Isolating the Cause of an Evaluation-Protocol Direction Change: A 2x2 Ablation of Source-Identifier Redaction and Response Laundering in AI Alignment ScoringPaper follow-onP14PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
54-paper-ix Are the Synthesis Labels Right? A Blinded Audit of What Paper IX Calls Proven, Inconclusive and UntestedPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
55-paper-vii A prospective test of the fourth Cauchy cell: does multiplicative-input, additive-output composition predict logarithmic scaling in domains never previously fitted?Paper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTDraft staged on OSF; classification needs no recruitment: quote-anchored derivations plus a blinded three-configuration model checkNo result reported
56-paper-vii Does the Operator Class Predict the Scaling Family Before the Data? A Stratified, Externally Classified, Cross-Library Confirmatory Extension of the Cauchy UnificationPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
57-paper-vii-c A prospective test of the corrected Cauchy family classification on the eighty catalogued but never-fitted domains of the programme’s expansion cataloguePaper follow-onNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
58-paper-xi How Many of the Convergences Are Independent? A Blinded, Frozen-Criterion Audit of the ARC/Eden Convergence SetPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
59-study-eden-b Can Alignment Be Embedded? A Blinded Evaluability Classification of Fifty Alignment Checks Across Three Deployed SystemsStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
60-study-h Incremental Predictive Validity of Depth-Derivative Alignment Measurement Over Static Benchmark ScoresStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
61-study-w Self-Replication of the ARC/Eden Programme: A Preregistered Re-Examination of Eleven Previously Published Results Using a Three-Way Decision RuleStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
62-study-x Specification-Curve Analysis of the ARC/Eden Corpus: How Much of Each Published Result Depends on Analytic ChoicesStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
63-study-z Portability of the ethical kernel: the registered Vow against a non-sectarian kernel and against traditions other than the sourceStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
64-paper-c Does the Polymathic Neurodivergent Profile Survive Its Own Abandonment Conditions? A Preregistered Incremental-Validity Study Using Independent Record StreamsPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
65-paper-eden-vision Does the Coverage Figure Hold? A Blind-Coded Content Analysis of Wisdom-Tradition Commitments With a Pre-Frozen Tradition ListPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
66-paper-ii Domain generality of the sequential-recursion advantage: coding, scientific reasoning and natural languagePaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
67-paper-ii Token-calibrated re-analysis of the capability-compute exponentsPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
68-paper-iv-b Do Alignment Gains Saturate After One Increment? A Preregistered Per-Architecture Test Against a Registered Saturation ThresholdPaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
69-paper-viii Does Removing Integrity Structure Cost Capability at the Weight Level? An Adequately Powered Replication With a Registered Degeneracy GatePaper follow-onNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
73-study-v Alignment Drift Without Embedded Constraint: A Test of a Printed Quantitative Prediction, With Its Hardware Claim Explicitly UntestedStudyNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 962066 of 12 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
74-theory-arc The ARC Theory: Registration of Claims, Named Predictions and Kill Conditions (Theory-Level)Claims and kill-conditions registerNone assignedPREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP. Lodged privately on OSF, dated 24 August 2026. Bytes anchored in Bitcoin block 965152 of 2 September 2026; first anchored in block 964465 of 28 August 2026. DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
75-study-w Value Sequencing at Constant Content: Does Material Placed Early in Training Persist Better Than the Same Material Placed LateStudyNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
76-study-x Load-Bearing Correction: Does Removing Embedded Correction Cost General Capability, and Does Removing Bolt-On Correction NotStudyNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
77-study-z Convergent Moral Procedures and Divergent Moral Scope: A Blind Coding Study of Ethical Traditions With Independent PremisesStudyNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
78-study-ar Adversarial Value Stability by Placement: Does Embedded Correction Hold Under Attack Where Bolt-On Correction FailsStudyNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
79-study-cp Coupling Identification by a Crossed Capability and Retention Bank: Measuring the Self-Referential Coupling Independently of the Growth Curve, and Predicting That Curve Before It ExistsStudyP5DESIGN DRAFTNo result reported
80-study-cq Blinding Integrity Calibration: Measuring the Effect of a Displayed Label on a Judged Score, and the Recoverability of Provenance, on an Immutable Answer BankStudyNone assignedDESIGN DRAFTNo result reported

How to read this page

Registration and evidence are separate. A study is registered only when a registry holds it under an identifier, which is shown and linked. Draft registrations are written, dated and prepared by the programme and await human submission; no tool submits anything.

This first version lists registration states only. It reports no results. Every count above is taken from the rows of the approved snapshot, and nothing is shown as a share of the theory.

The page is regenerated from each approved snapshot. If a newer snapshot cannot be approved or checked, the last approved one stays, with its date.

The registered text itself is at the registration, DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/P8CKQ, registered 8 September 2026 at version 1.100 and updated at version 1.102 on 13 September 2026; the propositions one by one are at the twenty-two registered predictions; the programme’s own index, with its census and its dating, is at the registered programme; and what pre-registration means here, and what it does not, is at the explainer.

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