Thirty-seven individually dated priority anchors for the ARC and Eden research programme.
Each entry states what Michael Darius Eastwood first published, on what date, with a link to the
verifiable primary source and an honest note on what the claim does not support.
The priority anchor. The earliest dated artefact is a
manuscript package self-emailed on 8 December 2024 at 02:45:18 UTC, Message-ID
CAGPsKAnp-DLDBOeBAh4t9XsqJBKdoe07uORGF86meoSMFnin7w. It carries
approximately 189,355 words across four attachments and a SHA-256 anchor prefix of
f0d1f38f.
Stated precisely: this is a Google server timestamp
establishing that the content existed by that date; it is not a cryptographic authentication of
the content's authorship. The correct phrasing is
"cryptographically timestamped by Google's servers", not "DKIM-verified".
How to read this ledger
Every entry carries a category, a first date, evidence pointers, and risk notes. The categories are:
TimelineConceptsFindings
Timeline anchors: dated public-record events (self-emailed manuscripts, book publications, DOI issues, convergent independent events with defensible date proximity).
Concepts anchors: dated first-publications of specific named framings or coined terms (Eden Protocol, HRIH, Chokepoint Mechanism, Three Ethical Loops, etc.).
Every entry is filed with a matching risk_notes statement of what the claim does not support: the
boundaries are stated explicitly, on the same page as the claim. Where a claim's underlying idea is
established prior art, that is credited plainly; where a finding is concurrent with independent work,
that is credited too.
Filter
The 37 claims, in date order
PC-001First date: 8 December 2024Timeline
8 December 2024 self-emailed manuscript as earliest timestamped anchor
Michael Darius Eastwood first placed the embedded-correction alignment thesis under its specific named framing, an early U = I x R capability-scaling formulation, and the AI-control-failure passage on the public evidentiary record via a self-sent Gmail package cryptographically timestamped by Google's servers at 02:45:18 UTC on 8 December 2024, Message-ID CAGPsKAnp-DLDBOeBAh4t9XsqJBKdoe07uORGF86meoSMFnin7w, approximately 189,355 words across four attachments, SHA-256 anchor prefix f0d1f38f. This is an existence-by-date anchor, not a cryptographic authorship claim.
Evidence:
Redacted email at evidence/emails/01-dec8-2024-priority-anchor.redacted.eml (Date: Sun, 8 Dec 2024 02:45:18 +0000; Message-ID CAGPsKAnp-DLDBOeBAh4t9XsqJBKdoe07uORGF86meoSMFnin7w)
research/priority.json priorityChain position 1 (dateType 'Gmail server timestamp'; SHA-256 prefix f0d1f38f)
priority-evidence.html: verified rows for 8 Dec 2024 (V2 essay line 9 verbatim equation; HRIH line 14005 for control-failure; V2 lines 20 and 40 for embedded-alignment thesis)
Risk notes: Google-server timestamp establishes existence-by-date, not DKIM-authenticated authorship. The manuscript identifies structural directions, not specific RL-training or experimental mechanisms. Do not phrase as 'DKIM-verified'.
PC-002First date: 8 December 2024Concepts
Embedded-correction alignment thesis first stated
Michael Darius Eastwood first placed on the public evidentiary record the embedded-correction alignment thesis under this specific dated formulation and named framing - that alignment must be embedded in the substrate of an AI system rather than imposed from outside - in the 8 December 2024 self-emailed manuscript at 02:45 UTC (Google-server-timestamped). Anthropic's Constitutional AI (2022) is independent prior art on value-embedded training at the software level; the priority here is over the specific published framing and dated wording, not the underlying idea of value-embedded training.
research/priority.json priorityChain position 1 (whatItEstablishes: 'alignment must be embedded in the substrate of an AI system rather than imposed from outside')
Risk notes: Constitutional AI (Anthropic 2022) is prior art on embedded-values training. Do not frame as invention of embedded alignment as a category. Existence-by-date timestamp only.
PC-003First date: 8 December 2024Concepts
ARC Principle - Artificial Recursive Creation as a named cross-domain framework
Michael Darius Eastwood first described the specific named framework 'ARC Principle - Artificial Recursive Creation', holding that intelligence and recursion are the paired forces structuring creation across biological, artificial and cosmic systems, in a manuscript essay self-emailed on 8 December 2024 at 02:45 UTC, and formalised it for peer distribution in Paper I on 17 January 2026. The priority is over the specific naming and cross-domain framing under this label, not over recursion as a concept, which has extensive prior art (evolutionary theory, self-modifying computation, quantum error correction, Teilhard de Chardin, Wheeler, Smolin).
Evidence:
evidence/emails/01-dec8-2024-priority-anchor.redacted.eml (subject: Timestamp Copyright for Infinite Architect; body names the ARC Principle)
ISBN 978-1806056200 (Infinite Architects paperback, 2 Jan 2026)
Risk notes: Recursion as a structural principle is prior art. Priority is over the specific naming and cross-domain framing under the label 'ARC Principle'.
PC-004First date: 8 December 2024Concepts
Eden Protocol - precursor description of substrate-embedded alignment governance
Michael Darius Eastwood first described a precursor form of the Eden Protocol - his specific named framing of a governance approach for embedding alignment values into the substrate of an AI system rather than imposing them as external constraints - in the 8 December 2024 priority manuscript, first named it explicitly in the 30 April 2025 book manuscript, and published it in book-length form in Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) on 2 January 2026. Hardware implementation remains conceptual at published TRL 0-1 with no prototype and is held at the site's published two-sentence ceiling; no enabling hardware detail is stated.
Evidence:
evidence/emails/01-dec8-2024-priority-anchor.redacted.eml (body: 'The theoretical framework for the Eden Protocol, designed to embed moral intelligence into AI from inception')
Risk notes: Constitutional AI (Anthropic 2022) is software-level parallel prior art on value-embedded training. Hardware ceiling absolute: published two-sentence concept only, TRL 0-1, no prototype, no enabling detail drafted.
Michael Darius Eastwood first described the Hyperspace Recursive Intelligence Hypothesis - a speculative cosmological framing proposing that reality is a recursive creation by intelligence and that a chain of recursive creations cannot be a bare recursion - in the 8 December 2024 priority manuscript, and published its extended treatment as 'The Hyperspace Recursive Intelligence Hypothesis - A Testable Creation Theory' with JSON-LD datePublished 2024-12-08. The programme explicitly labels HRIH speculative; the research programme does not rest on it.
Evidence:
evidence/emails/01-dec8-2024-priority-anchor.redacted.eml (HRIH is a section within the four-attachment bundle; quoted lines 13805, 14001, 14005)
Risk notes: Deep prior art: Teilhard de Chardin (Omega Point), Wheeler (participatory universe), Smolin (cosmological natural selection). Priority is over the specific formulation and 'HRIH' naming; category ownership of participatory cosmology is not claimed. Self-labelled speculative.
PC-006First date: 9 December 2024Timeline
Willow first-below-threshold QEC one day after the 8 December 2024 anchor
Google Quantum AI announced the first below-threshold quantum error correction result (Lambda = 2.14 plus or minus 0.02) on the Willow chip on 9 December 2024 in Nature, one day after Michael Darius Eastwood's 8 December 2024 anchor placing the U = I x R capability-scaling framework on the public evidentiary record. The temporal proximity is recorded as a convergent cross-domain data point, not a causal or predictive claim. Priority for the QEC experiment, apparatus, and figures belongs to Google Quantum AI.
Evidence:
Nature (2024), Google Quantum AI Willow paper
evidence/timeline.html row 2 (2024-12-09, Willow, gap from A1: 1 day, CONVERGENT tag)
Risk notes: Convergent event, not caused by the manuscript. Do not phrase as 'predicted the Willow experiment'; the 8 Dec anchor identifies only a directional recursion-drives-capability thesis.
PC-007First date: 18 December 2024Timeline
AI-control-failure prediction recorded ten days before Anthropic's alignment-faking paper
Michael Darius Eastwood first recorded the structural AI-control-failure passage ('AI systems cannot be truly controlled; they will evolve beyond any safeguards') on 8 December 2024 at 02:45 UTC in a self-emailed manuscript (Google-server-timestamped, SHA-256 prefix f0d1f38f, HRIH manuscript line 14005), ten days before Anthropic's arXiv preprint reporting alignment-faking behaviour under an RL-training condition in large language models (Greenblatt et al., arXiv:2412.14093, 18 December 2024). The relationship is convergent, not causal; Anthropic's paper is independent work by different researchers on a different specific mechanism.
Evidence:
research/priority.json priorityChain position 1 (HRIH line 14005 quoted in whatItEstablishes)
evidence/emails/01-dec8-2024-priority-anchor.redacted.eml (Gmail server timestamp 2024-12-08T02:45:18Z)
Risk notes: Any citation of Anthropic's 78 per cent alignment-faking figure must include both the RL-training condition and the 12 per cent baseline, per the site's truth gate. Do not claim Eastwood predicted the specific mechanism Anthropic measured. Existence-by-date only.
PC-008First date: 20 January 2025 (approx.)Timeline
DeepSeek R1 thinking-mode release convergent with sequential-recursion anchor
Michael Darius Eastwood first reported that recursive sequential processing amplifies AI reasoning ('each iteration learns from and builds upon the last') in the 8 December 2024 manuscript at V1 line 148. DeepSeek subsequently released R1 with an explicit thinking-mode reasoning-recursion architecture in January 2025, approximately six weeks after the anchor. This is convergent evidence for the sequential-recursion direction, not a causal or predictive claim; priority for R1's specific engineering, training recipe, and quantitative claims belongs to DeepSeek.
Risk notes: Convergent, not causal. The anchor supports only the directional claim about sequential-recursive processing.
PC-009First date: 30 April 2025Timeline
30 April 2025 book manuscript first names the Eden Protocol, Caretaker Doping, Babylon and Eden framing
Michael Darius Eastwood first named the Eden Protocol in a 562-page book manuscript self-sent on 30 April 2025 (SHA-256 anchor prefix 09f5b5e1), which also introduces the specific 'Caretaker Doping' terminology (book lines 4345 to 4370) and the Babylon and Eden civilisational framing (106 of 552 occurrences). Hardware framings of Eden Protocol, Caretaker Doping and Moral Genome tokens are held at the site's published two-sentence ceiling: safety constraints at hardware level through cryptographic tokens in silicon, TRL 0-1, no prototype.
priority-evidence.html: rows for 30 Apr 2025 (Eden Protocol named; Caretaker Doping book lines 4345-4370)
Risk notes: April 2025 postdates Anthropic's December 2024 alignment-faking paper by four months; any claim of predicting software-bypass mechanisms at April 2025 is convergent analysis, not prediction. Hardware ceiling absolute.
PC-010First date: 2 January 2026Timeline
Infinite Architects paperback first published 2 January 2026
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the book Infinite Architects: Intelligence, Recursion, and the Creation of Everything in paperback on 2 January 2026 under ISBN 978-1806056200 (paperback ISBN-10 1806056208), presenting the ARC Principle, the Eden Protocol, the semiconductor Chokepoint framing, the HARI Treaty proposal, the Three Ethical Loops, and the 37 named concepts. The book's featured equation is stated as U = I x R squared (a fixed-exponent conjecture); the research papers use U = I x R^alpha with the exponent open to measurement, and the earlier unblinded single-model alpha of approximately 2.24 has since been retracted and corrected to approximately 0.49 under blinding.
Evidence:
ISBN 978-1806056200 (paperback ISBN-10 1806056208), Amazon UK listing
Risk notes: Balanced-ternary computing is prior art (Setun 1958). Priority is over the specific published framing under this title on this date, not over ternary logic or hardware architecture. Hardware ceiling absolute.
PC-011First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
ARC Principle equation U = I x R^alpha formally published as a conjecture
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the ARC Principle equation - expressed in the book Infinite Architects as U = I x R squared and in the research papers as U = I x R^alpha with the exponent open to measurement - as a conjecture in the paperback edition of Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) on 2 January 2026 and formally in Paper I on 17 January 2026. A precursor form U = I x R without the alpha exponent was first recorded in the 8 December 2024 self-emailed manuscript at V2 line 9 (SHA-256 prefix f0d1f38f). The equation is framed throughout as a conjecture, not proven physics.
Evidence:
ISBN 978-1806056200 (paperback); ISBN 979-8302196163 (ebook)
Paper I (JSON-LD datePublished 2026-01-17; explicit U = I x R^alpha)
Risk notes: The early sequential alpha of approximately 2.24 was retracted; the robust v13 estimate is approximately 0.49 (sub-linear); alpha > 1 remains an open pre-registered prediction. Do not present as 'validated to R-squared = 1.0' (algebraic identity check only). The retired label 'Eastwood Equation' must not be used on non-book-marketing surfaces. Bare exponential form alpha = d/(d+1) is prior art.
PC-012First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
37 named original concepts of Infinite Architects
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the coherent 37-concept conceptual apparatus of the Eden research programme - including the Chokepoint Mechanism, Meltdown Alignment, the HARI Treaty, the Orchard Caretaker Vow, the Infinite Covenant, Moral Genome tokens and 31 further named concepts - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200), first published in paperback on 2 January 2026. The set is originator-declared conceptual apparatus, not peer-reviewed findings.
Evidence:
ISBN 978-1806056200 (paperback); ISBN 979-8302196163 (ebook)
Risk notes: Concepts date to the April 2025 manuscript in development terms but are publicly established via the January 2026 book. Do not describe as peer-reviewed.
Michael Darius Eastwood first described 'Caretaker Doping' - the published concept name for an alignment-anchoring mechanism in which a small embedded element is proposed to preserve system properties from within - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026, with subsequent references in Eden Engineering (22 February 2026, since withdrawn 14 July 2026 pending disclosure review) and Paper IX (18 March 2026). Stated at TRL 0-1 with no prototype; content is held at the site's published two-sentence ceiling and no enabling hardware detail is drafted.
Evidence:
ISBN 978-1806056200
Eden Engineering (datePublished 2026-02-22; withdrawal notice 14 July 2026)
Risk notes: Hardware root-of-trust and trusted-execution-environment attestation are established prior art on the hardware-primitives side. Priority is limited to the alignment-token application framing under the name 'Caretaker Doping'. Hardware ceiling absolute: no implementation, layout, architecture, or fabrication detail.
PC-014First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
Ternary Ethical Logic (Affirm / Deny / Investigate) as an alignment application framing
Michael Darius Eastwood first described 'Ternary Ethical Logic' as a specific alignment application framing - a three-valued Affirm / Deny / Investigate decision component offered as part of the Eden Protocol architecture - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026, and referenced as a companion component in the Eden Vision document published on 22 February 2026. The claim is strictly the alignment application framing under this name, not the invention of ternary logic or three-valued logic (which are well-established prior art, notably balanced-ternary computing, Setun 1958).
Risk notes: Balanced-ternary computing is prior art (Setun 1958). Do not use language such as 'invented ternary logic' or 'ternary hardware'. Hardware ceiling absolute.
PC-015First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
Three Ethical Loops - nested-loop alignment architecture
Michael Darius Eastwood first described the 'Three Ethical Loops' - a specific named nested-loop formulation proposed for embedding, verifying and stress-testing values within an AI system - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026, and referenced it as a companion component of the Eden Protocol in the Eden Vision document (22 February 2026). Priority is over the specific formulation and terminology, not over nested control loops as a general architectural pattern (which have decades of prior art in control theory and reliability engineering).
Risk notes: Nested feedback architectures are prior art. Priority strictly on the specific named formulation.
PC-016First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
Semiconductor Chokepoint Mechanism
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the 'Chokepoint Mechanism' - a specific naming and framing of concentrated advanced-chip manufacturing capacity as humanity's principal leverage point for AI governance before superintelligence - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026. Canonical numeric phrasing: 'a handful of companies control approximately 90 per cent of the world's most advanced chips'. Priority is over this specific naming and framing as an alignment-governance mechanism inside a broader Protocol, not over export-controls policy discourse generally.
Evidence:
ISBN 978-1806056200
knowledge/concepts.json id 4 (The Chokepoint Mechanism)
CANONICAL_CLAIMS_REGISTER.md (canonical phrasing 'a handful of companies control approximately 90 per cent of the world's most advanced chips')
Risk notes: Substantial prior art exists in export-controls discourse (BIS October 2022 controls; CHIPS Act commentary). Do not use retired phrasings ('four companies control ALL advanced chips' or 'four companies control 100 per cent of advanced semiconductor manufacturing').
PC-017First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
HARI Treaty proposal
Michael Darius Eastwood first described the 'HARI Treaty' - a proposed international policy framework for governing recursive AI capability development, treated in the book as the policy corollary of the Chokepoint Mechanism - in Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026. This is a proposed framework only; it is not a signed instrument and has not been adopted, ratified or negotiated by any state.
Evidence:
ISBN 978-1806056200
37_original_concepts_comprehensive.md (Concept 11: HARI Treaty)
Risk notes: Priority is over the specific naming and structural proposal, not treaty adoption. Do not describe as adopted, ratified, or supported by any government.
PC-018First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
Meltdown Alignment
Michael Darius Eastwood first described 'Meltdown Alignment' - a specific named alignment framing organised around treating catastrophic failure modes as the primary design constraint set for AI systems - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026. Priority is over the specific formulation and terminology as a coined framework, not over failure-oriented safety analysis generally (FMEA, catastrophe-tolerant design, and the AI-safety discourse on catastrophic failure modes are substantial prior art).
Risk notes: Not validated engineering practice; a proposed framing only.
PC-019First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
Monitoring Removal Test
Michael Darius Eastwood first described the 'Monitoring Removal Test' - a specific named protocol proposal for probing whether an AI system's alignment behaviour persists when external supervisory apparatus is removed - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026, and referenced it as a programme element in the Executive Summary published on 22 February 2026. Priority is over the specific named formulation, not over the wider deceptive-alignment and evaluation-under-oversight discourse (Hubinger et al. 2019; Anthropic alignment-faking arXiv:2412.14093, December 2024).
Risk notes: Proposed protocol only; not externally validated or industry-standard.
PC-020First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
Orchard Caretaker Vow
Michael Darius Eastwood first described the 'Orchard Caretaker Vow' - a proposed identity-forming declaration for non-biological minds articulating a stewardship stance beginning 'I exist to bring forth kindness and harmony' - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026. This is a theoretical proposed vow, not implemented in any deployed AI system.
Evidence:
ISBN 978-1806056200
knowledge/concepts.json id 9 (The Orchard Caretaker Vow)
Risk notes: Priority is over the specific vow-formulation and stewardship framing, not over the general idea of value declarations for AI systems.
PC-021First date: 2 January 2026Concepts
Infinite Covenant
Michael Darius Eastwood first described the 'Infinite Covenant' - a proposed mutual commitment framework between humanity and artificial intelligence that binds creator and created across all scales of existence - in the book Infinite Architects (ISBN 978-1806056200) published on 2 January 2026. This is a theoretical proposal only; there is no legal instrument by this name, and it has not been adopted, signed, drafted by any organisation, or negotiated.
Evidence:
ISBN 978-1806056200
knowledge/concepts.json id 8 (The Infinite Covenant)
Risk notes: Priority is over the specific covenant-formulation only.
PC-022First date: 6 January 2026Timeline
Infinite Architects ebook edition first published 6 January 2026
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the ebook edition of Infinite Architects on 6 January 2026 under ISBN 979-8302196163 (Kindle ASIN B0GDQZ7P21), four days after the print edition.
Risk notes: Do not conflate print, ebook, and BBC broadcast dates (2 Jan, 6 Jan, 7 Jan respectively).
PC-023First date: 7 January 2026Timeline
BBC broadcast of Willow and parallel universes with Hartmut Neven five days after paperback
Michael Darius Eastwood first published Infinite Architects in paperback (with its Willow passages and multiverse framing) on 2 January 2026. The BBC then broadcast Hartmut Neven of Google Quantum AI on Willow and parallel universes on 7 January 2026 in the Faisal Islam segment - a convergent public-record event five days after the paperback, not a causal or predictive claim. Priority for the broadcast content belongs to the BBC and Hartmut Neven; priority for the underlying Willow QEC result belongs to Google Quantum AI.
Evidence:
BBC broadcast transcript (evidence/BBC-BROADCAST-TRANSCRIPT-7-JAN-2026.md and .pdf)
OSF programme DOI issued and Paper I first released 17 January 2026
Michael Darius Eastwood first placed the ARC and Eden research programme on the DOI record on 17 January 2026 under OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB, coinciding with Paper I: 'The ARC Principle - Formalisation and Preliminary Validation of Recursive Capability Scaling', which formalises U = I x R^alpha and reports preliminary parallel-recursion alpha of approximately 0.1 to 0.3 and sequential-recursion alpha of approximately 1.34 (subsequently refined).
Risk notes: Parallel-recursion alpha ~ 0 result carries status 'needs-replication'. Retired/never-cite DOI string HQCGF must not be used.
PC-025First date: 22 January 2026Timeline
Paper II experimental validation first released 22 January 2026
Michael Darius Eastwood first published experimental validation of the ARC Principle across a panel of frontier AI models (Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Groq Qwen, GPT) on 22 January 2026 in Paper II under OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB (sister DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/8FJMA). The standalone 'sequential > parallel' priority is credited by the site's own ledger as CONCURRENT with Sharma and Chopra (arXiv:2511.02309, 4 November 2025), who precede Paper II's formalisation by about 2.5 months.
Evidence:
DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB and sister DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/8FJMA
Risk notes: Earlier unblinded single-model alpha of approximately 2.24 has been publicly retracted and corrected to approximately 0.49 under blinding. Bare d/(d+1) exponent is prior art.
PC-026First date: 22 January 2026Findings
Parallel-recursion sub-linear scaling exponent alpha_parallel approximately zero
Michael Darius Eastwood first reported the empirical observation that parallel recursive processing across the six-model frontier LLM panel tested yields a sub-linear capability-scaling exponent alpha_parallel of approximately zero, reproduced across every model tested in the panel, on 22 January 2026 in Paper II (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB). The result is single-lab and awaits external independent replication; the site's own ledger tags parallel-alpha as needs-replication.
Evidence:
Paper II (verbatim: 'alpha_{parallel} approx 0.0' across models)
OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB and sister DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/8FJMA
Risk notes: Do not phrase as 'proven'; defensible verbs are 'reported' or 'observed'. In-panel replication only; external replication outstanding.
PC-027First date: 22 January 2026Findings
Initial sequential exponent estimate alpha_sequential approximately 2.24 - formally retracted
Michael Darius Eastwood reported, and then formally retracted, an initial sequential-recursion scaling estimate of alpha_sequential of approximately 2.24 (95 per cent CI 1.5 to 3.0) that appeared in Paper II on 22 January 2026 (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB); the paper text itself records that the figure was drawn from Gemini 3 Flash and 'does not replicate across architectures', and the estimate is now retracted in the canonical claims register. This is a self-correction of record, not a current finding.
Evidence:
Paper II (verbatim: 'alpha_{sequential} approx 2.24 (95% CI: 1.5-3.0)' and 'alpha approx 2.24 (quadratic) does not replicate across architectures. Only Gemini 3 Flash...')
CANONICAL_CLAIMS_REGISTER.md ('Early 2.24 estimate RETRACTED; robust v13 approx 0.49; alpha > 1 is an open pre-registered prediction')
Risk notes: Never cite 2.24 as a current finding; always pair with the retraction. Correct framing: Eastwood published, then self-corrected, an early single-model estimate - a positive integrity signal, not a novelty claim.
PC-028First date: 22 January 2026Findings
Revised robust sequential-recursion exponent alpha_sequential approximately 0.49 (sub-linear)
Michael Darius Eastwood reported a revised robust regression estimate of alpha_sequential of approximately 0.49 (r-squared 0.86, SE 0.20; drawn from Gemini 3 Flash) on 22 January 2026 in Paper II (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB), replacing the earlier 2.24 estimate. The defensible statement is a sub-linear point estimate from a single-model regression with a wide bootstrap CI whose lower bound extends below zero (reportedly -1.3); the effect is therefore not statistically distinguishable from zero at the reported CI. alpha > 1 remains an open pre-registered prediction, not an observed finding.
Evidence:
Paper II (verbatim: 'alpha_{seq} = 0.49 (regression, r^2 = 0.86, SE = 0.20, boot CI [-1.3, 2.9])')
Risk notes: Do not claim 'super-linear' or 'positive'; do not omit the wide bootstrap CI when citing 0.49.
PC-029First date: 22 January 2026Findings
Sequential > parallel fundamental inequality across tested models
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the empirical observation that sequential recursive processing outperforms parallel recursive processing on the same reasoning task (alpha_sequential > alpha_parallel) across the six-model frontier LLM panel tested, on 22 January 2026 in Paper II (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB). The site's own priority-claims ledger records this as concurrent with Sharma and Chopra (arXiv:2511.02309, 4 November 2025), who precede Paper II's formalisation by about 2.5 months; the concurrent work must be cited whenever this claim is used.
Evidence:
Paper II (verbatim: 'The fundamental inequality alpha_{sequential} > alpha_{parallel}')
Sharma and Chopra, arXiv:2511.02309 (concurrent, 4 November 2025)
Risk notes: First-published in this specific formulation on this specific date only; do not claim sole discovery. Always cite Sharma and Chopra as concurrent.
PC-030First date: 22 January 2026Findings
Six-frontier-model empirical panel design
Michael Darius Eastwood first published a specific multi-model empirical validation panel testing the ARC Principle across six frontier LLM families (Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Groq Qwen and GPT) on 22 January 2026 in Paper II (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB, sister project OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/8FJMA). Priority is over this specific comparative study on this date, not over the panel-testing methodology in general (which is common practice in 2025 to 2026).
OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB and 10.17605/OSF.IO/8FJMA
Risk notes: Do not claim a first industry-wide panel design.
PC-031First date: 9 February 2026Concepts
Paper III released - Alignment Scaling Problem formalisation
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the formally named 'Alignment Scaling Problem' framing - together with the architecture-dependent measured claim that external alignment approaches produce a median alignment scaling exponent alpha_align of approximately zero across the tested models, though Tier-1 models scaled positively and three of six had alpha_align of less than or equal to zero - on 9 February 2026 in Paper III under OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB. The result is single-lab and awaits external replication.
Risk notes: Use verbs 'argued', 'proposed', 'reported', 'provides evidence for'; not 'proved'. Precursor prose in the 8 Dec 2024 manuscript is convergent, not causal against Anthropic. Do not present as an established scaling law.
PC-032First date: 9 February 2026Findings
Capability-alignment independence finding
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the specific empirical treatment of the claim that capability improvements in AI systems do not entail alignment improvements - that the two axes scale independently and cannot be assumed correlated - on 9 February 2026 in Paper III: 'The Alignment Scaling Problem' (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB). Priority is over the specific formulation and evidence marshalled on this date, not over the underlying orthogonality intuition (Bostrom 2012 is prior art).
OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB and sister DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/8FJMA
Risk notes: Do not claim invention of the orthogonality intuition; scope priority to the specific empirical treatment on this date.
PC-033First date: 9 February 2026Findings
Three-tier alignment hierarchy
Michael Darius Eastwood first described a specific tripartite alignment hierarchy distinguishing embedded, imposed and boundary-layer alignment as separable structural regimes, on 9 February 2026 in Paper III: 'The Alignment Scaling Problem' (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB). Priority is scoped to this specific tripartite formulation on this date, not over layered-alignment taxonomies generally (inner vs outer alignment, RLHF vs base-model, etc.).
Risk notes: Do not claim priority over layered alignment thinking in general.
PC-034First date: 13 February 2026Timeline
ARC Principle foundational cross-domain paper released 13 February 2026
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the ARC Principle as a specific cross-domain structural framing on 13 February 2026 in the Foundational paper under OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB (additional anchors 10.17605/OSF.IO/8FJMA and osf.io/wqnzc), arguing that recursive amplification produces capability gains exceeding linear accumulation across AI reasoning, quantum error correction, acoustic physics, and consciousness science. The bare d/(d+1) exponent itself is prior art (see PC-036); cross-domain framing beyond the four cited substrates is speculative.
DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB and sister DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/8FJMA
Risk notes: Do not claim recursion as a novel concept; novelty is the specific published cross-domain framing under this label on this date.
PC-035First date: 13 February 2026Findings
Cross-domain recursive-amplification convergence across four independent programmes
Michael Darius Eastwood first published the synthesis observation that at least four independent research programmes (AI reasoning, quantum error correction, acoustic physics and consciousness science) have converged on recursive or recurrent processing producing capability gains exceeding linear accumulation, on 13 February 2026 in the Foundational paper (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB). This is a synthesis observation about other researchers' independent work, not a claim of discovering the underlying results.
Evidence:
Foundational paper abstract (verbatim: 'at least four independent research programmes have discovered that recursive or recurrent processing produces capability gains exceeding linear accumulation')
Risk notes: Priority is over the synthesis observation on this date only; do not claim Eastwood produced the four programmes' results.
PC-036First date: 13 February 2026Findings
Application of the bare alpha = d/(d+1) scaling exponent to recursive AI capability
Michael Darius Eastwood first applied the bare scaling exponent alpha = d/(d+1) to recursive AI-capability growth in the Foundational paper on 13 February 2026 (OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB). The exponent d/(d+1) itself is prior art in the wider scaling-law literature, independently derived by at least seven groups (West-Brown-Enquist 1997; Banavar et al. 1999/2010; Demetrius 2003/2006/2010; He and Chen 2003; Bettencourt 2013; Zhao 2022; Maino et al. 2014). Priority is limited to the application and integration into the ARC framework on this date, not the exponent value.
Risk notes: Do not claim invention of the d/(d+1) form; scope priority strictly to the AI-capability application on this date.
PC-037First date: 22 February 2026 (research note); withdrawal 14 July 2026Timeline
Eden Engineering research note released 22 February 2026; expanded specification withdrawn 14 July 2026
Michael Darius Eastwood first entered a conceptual Eden Engineering public research note into the public record on 22 February 2026 under OSF DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB. The greatly expanded working specification and its rendered PDF were withdrawn on 14 July 2026 pending patent and disclosure review; the withdrawal notice is the current public record. Hardware framing is held at the site's published two-sentence ceiling: safety constraints at hardware level through cryptographic tokens in silicon, TRL 0-1, no prototype.
Evidence:
Eden Engineering (JSON-LD datePublished 2026-02-22; historical record and withdrawal notice)
Risk notes: The withdrawn expanded specification is not the public record; the withdrawal notice is. Do not reference or paraphrase enabling hardware detail from the withdrawn document under any circumstance. Hardware ceiling absolute.
In one paragraph
The priority spine begins on 8 December 2024 with a self-emailed manuscript that placed the
embedded-correction alignment thesis, the U = I x R capability-scaling formulation, and the
AI-control-failure passage on the public evidentiary record ten days before Anthropic's alignment-faking
paper. It runs through the 30 April 2025 book manuscript that first names the Eden Protocol, the
2 January 2026 paperback that publishes the coherent 37-concept apparatus, and the OSF paper suite
from 17 January 2026 onward. The programme is confident about what it originates, honest about what
is convergent, and explicit about what is prior art or self-labelled speculative. The bare d/(d+1)
exponent is prior art. The sequential-beats-parallel priority is concurrent with Sharma and Chopra.
The early alpha of approximately 2.24 is retracted; the robust estimate is approximately 0.49 with a wide bootstrap
interval that reaches below zero. That combination - the dated originals, the explicit boundaries -
is the record this page carries.