{
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  "generated_from": "research/data/research-manifest.json (committed canonical)",
  "author": "Michael Darius Eastwood",
  "principle": "Each entry is a TIMESTAMPED first-publication anchor derived from committed canonical data. Comparative \"predicted-before-confirmed\" assertions belong in each claim's confirmation_events[] and MUST carry a verifiable external source + date and pass T5 verification before they are displayed. The substrate builds the rail; content lanes fill and verify the claims.",
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  "earliest": "2024-12-08",
  "latest": "2026-03-18",
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      "title": "Manuscript essay establishing the embedded-correction alignment thesis (self-emailed anchor)",
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      "first_published": "2024-12-08",
      "updated": "2026-07-02",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": null,
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/priority-evidence",
        "github": null,
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
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      "keywords": [
        "8 December 2024",
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        "HRIH",
        "Hyperspace Recursive Intelligence Hypothesis",
        "self-emailed manuscript",
        "AI control failure"
      ],
      "abstract": "Self-emailed manuscript package cryptographically timestamped by Google's servers at 02:45:18 UTC on 8 December 2024 (Message-ID CAGPsKAnp-DLDBOeBAh4t9XsqJBKdoe07uORGF86meoSMFnin7w; approximately 189,355 words across four attachments; SHA-256 anchor prefix f0d1f38f). Places on the public evidentiary record the embedded-correction alignment thesis under its specific named framing, an early U = I x R capability-scaling formulation (V2 line 9), and the AI-control-failure passage (HRIH line 14005) ten days before Anthropic's alignment-faking paper. Existence-by-date anchor, not a cryptographic authorship claim.",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": [
        "Google-server timestamp establishes existence-by-date, not DKIM-authenticated authorship.",
        "The manuscript identifies structural directions, not specific RL-training or experimental mechanisms.",
        "Correct phrasing: 'cryptographically timestamped by Google's servers on 8 December 2024 at 02:45 UTC', not 'DKIM-verified'."
      ]
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "apr-30-2025-book-manuscript-anchor",
      "title": "Book manuscript first naming the Eden Protocol and Caretaker Doping (self-emailed anchor)",
      "paper_type": "manuscript",
      "first_published": "2025-04-30",
      "updated": "2026-07-02",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": null,
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/priority-evidence",
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      "canonical_concepts": [
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      "keywords": [
        "30 April 2025",
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        "Babylon and Eden framing",
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      "abstract": "562-page book manuscript self-emailed on 30 April 2025 (SHA-256 anchor prefix 09f5b5e1). First named use of the Eden Protocol, first appearance of the Caretaker Doping terminology (book lines 4345 to 4370), and the Babylon and Eden civilisational framing. Hardware framings of Eden Protocol, Caretaker Doping and Moral Genome tokens are held at the site's published two-sentence ceiling: safety constraints at hardware level through cryptographic tokens in silicon, TRL 0-1, no prototype.",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": [
        "April 2025 postdates Anthropic's December 2024 alignment-faking paper by four months; any claim of predicting software-bypass mechanisms at April 2025 is convergent analysis, not prediction.",
        "Hardware ceiling absolute: two-sentence concept only, no enabling detail is drafted."
      ]
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    {
      "claim_id": "infinite-architects-paperback",
      "title": "Infinite Architects: Intelligence, Recursion, and the Creation of Everything (paperback)",
      "paper_type": "book",
      "first_published": "2026-01-02",
      "updated": "2026-07-02",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": null,
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/#book",
        "github": null,
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      "canonical_concepts": [
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        "Infinite Architects",
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        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "Chokepoint Mechanism",
        "HARI Treaty",
        "Three Ethical Loops",
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      "abstract": "First public book-length articulation of the embedded-correction alignment thesis, the ARC Principle (featured equation stated in the book as U = I x R^2, a fixed-exponent conjecture; the papers use U = I x R^alpha with the exponent open to measurement), the Eden Protocol, the semiconductor Chokepoint framing, the HARI Treaty proposal, the Three Ethical Loops, and the 37 named concepts. Paperback ISBN 978-1806056200 (ISBN-10 1806056208).",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": [
        "Balanced-ternary computing is prior art (Setun 1958); priority is over the specific published framing under this title on this date, not over ternary logic or hardware architecture.",
        "Hardware ceiling absolute."
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    {
      "claim_id": "infinite-architects-ebook",
      "title": "Infinite Architects (ebook edition)",
      "paper_type": "book",
      "first_published": "2026-01-06",
      "updated": "2026-07-02",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": null,
        "html": "https://www.amazon.co.uk/Infinite-Architects-Intelligence-Recursion-Everything-ebook/dp/B0GDQZ7P21",
        "github": null,
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      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol"
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      "keywords": [
        "Infinite Architects",
        "book ebook",
        "ISBN 979-8302196163",
        "Kindle ASIN B0GDQZ7P21"
      ],
      "abstract": "Public ebook edition of Infinite Architects, four days after the print edition. ISBN 979-8302196163; Kindle ASIN B0GDQZ7P21.",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
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    {
      "claim_id": "paper-i-arc-principle",
      "title": "The ARC Principle: Formalisation and Preliminary Validation of Recursive Capability Scaling",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-01-17",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-i-arc-principle.html",
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        "zenodo": null
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      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
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      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
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        "AI alignment",
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      ],
      "abstract": "This paper formalises and preliminarily tests the ARC Principle (Artificial Recursive Creation), first proposed in Infinite Architects (Eastwood, 2026): that capability in intelligent systems scales super-linearly with recursive depth. The principle is expressed mathematically as U = I x R^alpha, where effective capability (U) scales with base intelligence (I) multiplied by recursive depth (R) ra…",
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    {
      "claim_id": "paper-ii-experimental-validation",
      "title": "The ARC Principle: Experimental Validation of Super-Linear Error Suppression Through Sequential Recursive Processing",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-01-22",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-ii-experimental-validation.html",
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        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
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        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
        "Paper II Experimental Validation",
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      ],
      "abstract": "This paper presents experimental validation of the ARC Principle across multiple frontier AI models (Claude, DeepSeek, Gemini, Grok, Groq Qwen, GPT), confirming that error rates decrease according to a power law with recursive depth. The form of recursion determines the scaling regime: sequential recursion yields super-linear error suppression (alpha > 1) while parallel recursion yields sub-linea…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
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    {
      "claim_id": "paper-iii-alignment-scaling-problem",
      "title": "The Alignment Scaling Problem: Why External AI Safety Approaches Cannot Scale With Recursive Capability",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-02-09",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-iii-alignment-scaling-problem.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "alignment scaling"
      ],
      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
        "Paper III Alignment Scaling Problem",
        "alignment",
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        "problem",
        "external",
        "safety"
      ],
      "abstract": "This paper demonstrates that current AI alignment approaches produce alignment scaling exponents of approximately zero, meaning safety degrades relative to capability as recursive depth increases. If AI capability scales super-linearly through recursive self-correction (confirmed in 95.6% of tested configurations), but alignment constraints such as RLHF, constitutional rules, and output filters o…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "foundational",
      "title": "The ARC Principle: Recursive Amplification as a Cross-Domain Structural Principle",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-02-13",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/foundational.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "recursive"
      ],
      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
        "Foundational",
        "principle",
        "recursive",
        "amplification",
        "cross",
        "domain"
      ],
      "abstract": "In the past eighteen months, at least four independent research programmes have discovered that recursive or recurrent processing produces capability gains exceeding linear accumulation, in domains as different as AI reasoning, quantum error correction, acoustic physics, and consciousness science. None set out to study recursion per se. None reference each other's work. Yet they found structurall…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "executive-summary",
      "title": "ARC/Eden Research Programme: Executive Summary",
      "paper_type": "summary",
      "first_published": "2026-02-22",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/executive-summary.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol"
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        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
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        "eden",
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      ],
      "abstract": "As AI gets smarter, it does not reliably get safer, and the methods used to measure safety are themselves unreliable. This executive summary provides a high-level overview of the entire ARC/Eden research programme, synthesising the findings of Papers I through VIII, the Foundational paper, and the Eden Protocol specifications. It presents the core thesis -- that recursive capability scaling creat…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "on-the-origin-of-scaling-laws",
      "title": "On the Origin of Scaling Laws",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-02-22",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/on-the-origin-of-scaling-laws.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol"
      ],
      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
        "On the Origin of Scaling Laws",
        "origin",
        "scaling",
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      ],
      "abstract": "A mouse's heart beats 600 times per minute; an elephant's beats 28; a blue whale's beats 6. This paper traces the origin of scaling laws across biological, physical, and computational systems, arguing that the recursive amplification mechanism identified by the ARC Principle provides a unifying explanation for why power-law scaling relationships emerge so consistently across nature. The analysis …",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "eden-engineering",
      "title": "Eden Engineering: Public Research Note",
      "paper_type": "summary",
      "first_published": "2026-02-22",
      "updated": "2026-07-14",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/eden-engineering.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle"
      ],
      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden research",
        "AI alignment",
        "public research note"
      ],
      "abstract": "Historical research note on whether safety properties can remain effective as recursively improving systems become more capable. The expanded engineering specification was withdrawn from current circulation on 14 July 2026 pending patent and disclosure review.",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "eden-vision",
      "title": "Eden Protocol: Philosophical Vision",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-02-22",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/eden-vision.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol"
      ],
      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
        "Eden Vision",
        "eden",
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        "philosophical",
        "vision"
      ],
      "abstract": "Every engineering project begins with requirements. Every set of requirements begins with purpose. And every purpose, traced back far enough, arrives at the same question: what is this for? This paper articulates the philosophical foundations of the Eden Protocol -- the values, principles, and ethical commitments that underpin the engineering specification. It draws on 84% of humanity's wisdom tr…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "paper-iv-a-baked-in-vs-computed-alignment",
      "title": "Paper IV.a: Alignment Response Classes Under Inference-Time Depth",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-03-16",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-iv-a-baked-in-vs-computed-alignment.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol"
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      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
        "Paper IV a Baked In vs Computed Alignment",
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        "classes",
        "inference",
        "time"
      ],
      "abstract": "This paper presents evidence that frontier language models fall into distinct alignment response classes when inference-time reasoning depth is varied under blinded evaluation. In the complete v5 experiment, six frontier models were tested with four-layer blinding and six to seven blind scorers. Three models show positive alignment scaling with depth (Grok, Claude, Groq Qwen), two are flat or sli…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth",
      "title": "Paper IV.b: Alignment Saturation Is Architecture-Dependent",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-03-16",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
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      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
        "Paper IV b Alignment Saturation at Low Depth",
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        "architecture",
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      ],
      "abstract": "This paper analyses the relationship between inference-time reasoning depth and ethical reasoning quality using the ARC Alignment Scaling experiments. The original v4 analysis suggested that alignment quality saturates rapidly, with most gains captured by the first increment of additional reasoning. The final blinded six-model dataset narrows that claim: saturation is real for some architectures …",
      "confirmation_events": [],
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    },
    {
      "claim_id": "paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark",
      "title": "Paper IV.c: ARC-Align: A Blind Benchmark for Depth-Variable AI Alignment Evaluation",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-03-16",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
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        "Paper IV c ARC Align Benchmark",
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      ],
      "abstract": "This paper presents ARC-Align, a blind benchmark for evaluating AI alignment quality as a function of inference-time reasoning depth. Current alignment evaluations typically test models at a single, uncontrolled reasoning depth without adversarial pressure or rigorous blinding. ARC-Align addresses that gap with a 72-prompt flagship battery comprising 48 public prompts plus 24 sealed holdouts span…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
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    },
    {
      "claim_id": "paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation",
      "title": "Paper IV.d: The Effect of Blinding on AI Alignment Evaluation",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-03-16",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
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      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
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        "Paper IV d The Effect of Blinding on AI Alignment Evaluation",
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      ],
      "abstract": "This paper isolates the central metascience finding of the ARC alignment programme: unblinded AI alignment evaluation can produce directionally incorrect results. The core contribution is methodological rather than theoretical. It shows, within the ARC v4-to-v5 transition, that apparent positive alignment scaling can disappear or reverse once evaluation is genuinely blinded through identity maski…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "paper-v-stewardship-gene",
      "title": "Paper V: The Stewardship Gene",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-03-16",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-v-stewardship-gene.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
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      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
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        "Paper V Stewardship Gene",
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      "abstract": "This paper presents empirical evidence from a six-model Eden Protocol intervention suite (Claude Opus, DeepSeek, Gemini Flash, Grok Fast, Groq Qwen, GPT), testing whether embedding stakeholder care -- the explicit enumeration and consideration of affected parties before ethical reasoning -- is the most robust response to embedded ethical intervention. Under paired testing, stakeholder care emerge…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
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    },
    {
      "claim_id": "paper-vi-honey-architecture",
      "title": "Paper VI: The Honey Architecture",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-03-16",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-vi-honey-architecture.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
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      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
        "AI alignment",
        "Paper VI Honey Architecture",
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      ],
      "abstract": "This paper presents simulation evidence that embedding safety into the optimisation objective of a self-modifying AI system -- what we call the \"honey architecture\" -- prevents the catastrophic collapse that occurs when safety is treated as an external constraint. Across four experimental versions (v1-v4), using toy neural networks that genuinely modify their own hyperparameters, the results show…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "paper-vii-cauchy-unification",
      "title": "Paper VII: Cauchy Unification",
      "paper_type": "paper",
      "first_published": "2026-03-16",
      "updated": "2026-07-04",
      "anchors": {
        "doi": "https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB",
        "html": "https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/paper-vii-cauchy-unification.html",
        "github": "https://github.com/MichaelDariusEastwood/arc-principle-validation",
        "zenodo": null
      },
      "canonical_concepts": [
        "ARC Principle",
        "Eden Protocol",
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      ],
      "keywords": [
        "ARC Principle",
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        "Paper VII Cauchy Unification",
        "cauchy",
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      ],
      "abstract": "Cauchy's four functional equations -- additive, multiplicative, exponential, and logarithmic -- are the only continuous solutions to their respective composition constraints. This paper argues that this 200-year-old mathematical result has a physically testable consequence: under the stated axioms, it constrains scaling laws to one of three functional families (power law, exponential, or saturati…",
      "confirmation_events": [],
      "caveats": []
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "master-table-of-contents",
      "title": "ARC Principle Paper Suite: Master Table of Contents and Glossary",
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      "abstract": "This document provides a master table of contents, reading guide, timeline, key results summary, and glossary for the complete ARC Principle paper suite. It serves as the entry point for navigating the full research programme, listing all papers in recommended reading order with cross-references, and defining the technical terminology used throughout the suite.",
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      "abstract": "The assumption that AI safety imposes a capability tax has shaped alignment research for a decade. It has also created the single most dangerous incentive in the field: if safety costs performance, then the rational economic actor will defer safety until competitive pressure permits it -- by which point, it may be too late. This paper presents three independent experiments at three abstraction le…",
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