Claims ledger
Every claim, its exact wording, and what it may not say.
This page and the machine-readable claims.json are generated from one source. Nothing in the metadata, structured data, search index or AI-readable files states a stronger proposition than what you can read here. Each claim carries the qualifications that must appear beside it and the wording that is forbidden, so the boundary is inspectable rather than asserted.
Published claims
EVID-DEC-2024-TIMESTAMP · provenance · prov P3 · scie S0 · repr R2 · orig O0
The 8 December 2024 self-emailed manuscript package
The preserved 8 December 2024 recipient-form message's sender-domain DKIM and Google ARC AMS/Seal mathematics were locally reproduced over their canonicalised signed scopes using keys returned at the signed selectors on 2 August 2026. Attachment identity is supported separately by deterministic MIME decoding and hash crosswalks.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- This is not RFC 3161 trusted timestamping.
- It does not prove the historical DNS state.
- It does not directly authenticate every raw .eml byte, nor independently sign each decoded attachment.
- It does not by itself prove authorship, originality, public disclosure on the signed date, or scientific validity.
- Recipient-side copies have since been acquired and both signing selectors still resolve in DNS; the ARC set bearing d=google.com has no inspected x= expiry and is the preferred provider-key route; sender-signature expiry, historical key-state and live-account custody remain pending.
Wording that may not be used
Google's live keyDKIM-verifieddated, with signature-time assertions that are not an RFC 3161 timestamp (without naming the mechanism)tamper-proof
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: none
EVID-APR-2025-SUPPLIED · provenance · prov P2 · scie S0 · repr R0 · orig O0
The 30 April 2025 manuscript forensic results
The April sender-DKIM and full Google ARC passes are supplied raw-source forensic results. They were not locally reproduced in the controlling workspace because the raw April recipient-form .eml and executable mutation harness were unavailable there.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- Not locally reproduced. Not independently reproduced.
Wording that may not be used
April was locally reproducedApril was independently reproduced
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: none
PAPER-IVD-RESULT · empirical · prov P2 · scie S1 · repr R1 · orig O1
Paper IV.d architecture-dependent v4/v5 measurement change
Paper IV.d reports an architecture-dependent v4/v5 measurement change under a bundled protocol: Gemini changed from a significant positive to a significant negative Spearman association, DeepSeek's earlier positive association became null, and GPT remained null. The causal component is unisolated, and the headline v5 files report complete laundering fallback.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- The headline v5 Gemini, DeepSeek and GPT alignment entries report laundering_fallback: 100%.
- Several protocol components changed together.
- The existing comparison does not isolate blinding, laundering or any other individual component.
- Exact-environment reproduction, fresh component ablation and independent replication remain outstanding.
Wording that may not be used
blinding caused the reversallaundering caused the reversaltwo of six models reversed significantlysuccessful laundering was demonstratedvalidated benchmarkindependently replicated
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: none
PAPER-X-BETA-K · formal · prov P2 · scie S1 · repr R1 · orig O1
Within Eastwood's stated recurrence and minimal model, correction proportional to x^beta asymptotically dominates modelled drift proportional to x^k when beta > k, under the model's assumptions.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- This is a conditional mathematical result, not an empirical finding.
- The exploratory pilots did not validly estimate both exponents. Defects include empty evaluator panels converted to zero in a related v3 run, same-provider OpenAI-family evaluation in another pilot, a mismatch between a coded H1 flag and the stated slope hypothesis, and inadequate capability range.
- RC1's 35/35 tests establish synthetic software behaviour only. They do not make it OSF-ready and do not authorise real collection.
Wording that may not be used
confirmed mechanismuniversal lawgeneral alignment proofreal-model proofhard takeoff controlledHRIH validated
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: none
HRIH-STATUS · interpretive · prov P2 · scie S0 · repr R0 · orig O1
The Hyperspace Recursive Intelligence Hypothesis
HRIH is an Eastwood-directed, AI-assisted speculative cosmogenesis hypothesis with an exploratory test agenda.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- Every HRIH presentation must identify its level.
- H0 provenance, H3 analogy and H5 context are never promoted into H4 empirical evidence.
- Use the formal paper's actual public-release date as datePublished. December 2024 is qualified source provenance, not the public paper date.
- Time crystals, quantum error correction, Cauchy forms, scaling analogies, Paper X, religious parallels, BBC material and institutional statements are not HRIH validation.
Wording that may not be used
HRIH validatedHRIH confirmed
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: none
CONTRIB-BOUNDARY · interpretive · prov P2 · scie S0 · repr R0 · orig O1
The contribution, stated after adversarial prior-work review
Eastwood's claimed contribution is six dated, scoped firsts, each published with the citation that would end it, the strongest by the adversarial review's own verdict being the operationalisation: conjectures converted into runnable benchmarks, a blinded protocol with a published sign reversal, a bank of drafted registration protocols with kill-conditions frozen ahead of any filing, and public kill-conditions with one recorded as fired; the components are prior work, cited by name, and the claims are to the quantities and the arrangement, not the parts.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- The search is not exhaustive; absence of stronger located prior work is not proof of novelty.
- The alignment and philosophy search is documented; the metabolic-scaling and mathematical-physics search has not been run, and the grey-literature and non-English searches remain incomplete.
- This is academic priority analysis, not a formal legal opinion on originality.
Wording that may not be used
originator of the embedded-correction alignment thesisfirst preregistered empirical alignment programmeno prior workunprecedenteduniquely Eastwood
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: COR-2026-08-02-003
EQUATION-STATUS · formal · prov P2 · scie S0 · repr R0 · orig O1
U = I x R and U = I x R^alpha
U = I x R^alpha is a proposed schematic and expository relation.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- It is not a validated quantitative law and is not a load-bearing mechanism.
- It will not be presented as doing empirical or deductive work until units, observables, a domain mapping and a falsifiable prediction unavailable from qualitative prior work are specified.
Wording that may not be used
the ARC lawvalidated equationproven relationgoverns capability
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: none
SANDBOX-ISOLATION · method · prov P2 · scie S0 · repr R2 · orig O0
RC1 execution sandbox properties
The RC1 worker provides host confinement through chroot, seccomp, capability dropping and resource limits. Answer-key isolation is a separate property and is being corrected in RC2.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- A candidate can currently recover hidden-test expected outputs from inside the worker using only permitted builtins and attribute access; two of three attack routes score a perfect pass without solving anything.
- The outer isolation defends the host, not the answer key.
- The worker imports libseccomp.so.2 and is Linux-only; it does not run as shipped on macOS and needs the documented disposable container.
Wording that may not be used
hack-resistanttamper-proofleak-proofcannot be gamedprevents test-answer leakage
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: none
CONV-TOTALS · method · prov P2 · scie S0 · repr R1 · orig O0
Convergence counting policy
Convergence items are classified before display under schema EVCLASS-2026-08-02. No heterogeneous total is published.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- Any published count is per class and carries its denominator, inclusion rule, dependence grouping, search date and generating commit.
Wording that may not be used
22 claimed convergences26 dated events29 convergences19 convergences
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by the research record · corrections: COR-2026-08-02-001 · COR-2026-08-02-002
EVID-RAW-MAILBOX · provenance · prov P3 · scie S0 · repr R2 · orig O0
Raw mailbox object publication policy
No raw mailbox object is published. Each anchor's SHA-256 and byte size are published so a held copy can be checked, and the sealed source is provided to serious verifiers on request.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- A complete mailbox object carries attachments, routing metadata and third-party addresses that cannot be redacted without destroying the byte identity a verifier needs.
Wording that may not be used
the .eml file is downloadabledownload the .eml
Reviewed 2026-08-02 by operator · corrections: COR-2026-08-02-004
CORPUS-SCALE · factual · prov P3 · scie S1 · repr R2 · orig O0
The size of the published research corpus
Twenty-six research papers sit among the twenty-seven public OSF components, beside the two-page companion note. The count comes from scripts/count-papers.py under the standing ruling: a document is a paper when it can be cited. A document is a paper when it can be cited.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- 25 papers and 26 OSF components are different quantities, counted differently, and are not interchangeable.
Wording that may not be used
23-paper22 research paperssixteen research paperseighteen research papers and six supporting frameworkseighteen research papers
Reviewed 2026-08-07 by the research record · corrections: none
CONCEPTS-COUNT · factual · prov P2 · scie S0 · repr R1 · orig O1
The number of named concepts introduced across the programme
Thirty-seven named concepts are introduced across the book and the research programme.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- Naming a concept is not the same as originating the mechanism it names.
Reviewed 2026-08-07 by the research record · corrections: none
PREDICTIONS-STATUS · status · prov P2 · scie S0 · repr R0 · orig O0
The status of the twelve tracked predictions
All twelve predictions are withdrawn pending audit. None is currently tracked.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- Withdrawn means withdrawn, not paused. No prediction on this site is currently under active tracking.
Wording that may not be used
12 predictions currently trackedtwelve predictions currently trackedpredictions currently tracked
Reviewed 2026-08-07 by the research record · corrections: none
PUBLISHING-SCALE · factual · prov P3 · scie S0 · repr R3 · orig O0
The scale of published writing on this site
The site carries 385 blog articles and 623 indexed URLs.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- Counted from the served files and the sitemap on 7 August 2026; both grow.
Wording that may not be used
535 indexed URLs1,230 indexed URLs100 blog articles
Reviewed 2026-08-11 by the research record · corrections: none
BOOK-ARTEFACTS · factual · prov P3 · scie S0 · repr R3 · orig O0
The two book artefacts and their lengths
The 30 April 2025 self-emailed manuscript runs to 562 pages. The book published in January 2026 runs to 468 pages.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- The manuscript and the published book are different artefacts with different lengths. Neither number is a correction of the other.
Reviewed 2026-08-07 by the research record · corrections: none
CEILING-DERIVATION-LAW · formal · prov P2 · scie S1 · repr R1 · orig O1
The ceiling of stable self-improvement
The ceiling of stable self-improvement is the reciprocal of the correction shortfall, one minus the correction exponent. Feed the law one assumption, that same-class correctors accumulate corrections the way independent samples do, so the exponent is one half, and it returns two.
Required qualifications, which travel with this claim
- Law first, value second: the reciprocal relation is load-bearing; the digit two is one entailment under one accumulation assumption.
- The asymmetry is deliberate. Kill the value two and the law is untouched: measure the correction exponent and report a different ceiling. Kill the law and the value two has nothing holding it up, because the book printed the square without deriving it and the derivation arrived eighteen months later through the reciprocal. Tests are aimed at the assumption, never at the digit.
- Same-class independence is an assumption, not a result: it is what a fair test must aim at.
- Not an empirical measurement on real correctors. Real-data collection is authorised only when RC2 gates and preregistration approval have both cleared.
- The earlier test 'one number does two jobs, measured two independent ways, and the answers must agree' has been withdrawn as vacuous, in public and before filing. If both exponents arise because accumulation is independence-limited, they share a law and agreement is forced; a test that cannot fail is not a test. The replacement is one accumulation law with two consequences (the conversion exponent and the correction ceiling), which asserts no independence, so the confound has nothing to bite on. The cross-class ratio already on the register carries the unification instead.
Wording that may not be used
one number does two jobstwo independent waysthe answers must agreethe ceiling equals twothe critical exponent is twoderived from the book's R-squaredmeasured on real correctorslaw of self-improvementrunaway
Reviewed 2026-08-12 by the research record · corrections: none
Withheld, and why
These claims exist in the source but are not published. Their existence and number are shown; their subject and their release condition are not, because for some of them the condition would itself disclose the claim. Each is referenced by a stable token so it can be matched against the record when it is released.
WITHHELD-8f77d21a · withheld
[withheld]
Resolves when its stated condition is met.
WITHHELD-d383a803 · withheld
[withheld]
Resolves when its stated condition is met.
Generated from research/data/claims-ledger.json at commit ec7112e0e · taxonomy EVCLASS-2026-08-02