Fine-Tuning Constant Discovery
At least 3 additional cosmological constants will be identified as requiring fine-tuning for intelligence to emerge, beyond the current ~20 known constants.
50% confidence
Shareable summaryThe cosmic fine-tuning that enables intelligence may run deeper than we currently understand.
Falsification criteria
- If by 2035, no new fine-tuned constants are identified, this is weakened
- If theoretical physics demonstrates the existing constants emerge from a single principle (Theory of Everything), this is transformed (not falsified, but recontextualized)
- Threshold: Constants must be independently identified by multiple research groups
Supporting evidence
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Ongoing fine-tuning research in cosmology
2019-03-12
Comprehensive review of known fine-tuned constants
Timeline
- Made public
- Expected resolution
Checkpoints
- 2028-01-01 Mid-term cosmology literature review