cff-version: 1.2.0
version: '1.1'
message: 'If you use or discuss this paper, please cite it using this metadata.'
title: 'The Dated Prediction Register: Forward Predictions as One Verifiable Chain'
authors:
  - family-names: 'Eastwood'
    given-names: 'Michael Darius'
    orcid: 'https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3222-7442'
date-released: '2026-09-13'
url: 'https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/dated-prediction-register.html'
license: 'CC-BY-4.0'
identifiers:
  - type: doi
    value: '10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB'
    description: 'OSF umbrella DOI for the ARC / Eden Research Programme; no component DOI is held for this document in any register'
preferred-citation:
  type: article
  title: 'The Dated Prediction Register: Forward Predictions as One Verifiable Chain'
  authors:
    - family-names: 'Eastwood'
      given-names: 'Michael Darius'
      orcid: 'https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3222-7442'
  date-published: '2026-08-25'
  url: 'https://www.michaeldariuseastwood.com/research/papers/dated-prediction-register.html'
  identifiers:
    - type: doi
      value: '10.17605/OSF.IO/6C5XB'
      description: 'OSF umbrella DOI for the ARC / Eden Research Programme; no component DOI is held for this document in any register'
  abstract: |
    Working paper v1.1: the ARC programme's forward predictions assembled as one dated, verifiable chain, with the ensemble doctrine, the graded book appendices, the minute-resolution correction record and the standing unproven wagers.

# --- generated-from-master ---
# master_path: research/papers/dated-prediction-register.html
# master_sha256: f0e20866e59e6c7bf340a708278bb821595e365250cd8f6820fb925e87a900f6
# builder: scripts/build-paper-cff.py
# A check tool re-hashing master_path can decide freshness without any
# external state. If the master's current SHA-256 does not match
# master_sha256, this file is stale and must not be published:
# regenerate first with `python3 scripts/build-paper-cff.py --slug dated-prediction-register`.