{
 "generated": "2026-09-03",
 "honesty_header": "Every row below is a PRIVATE DRAFT registration prepared and populated on OSF, awaiting the operator's human review and submission. NONE has been submitted or accepted yet: the programme's own rule is that the AI prepares drafts and only a human files. Any public sentence implying N registrations are FILED is false until submissions begin, and this dataset says so first. One row (study-ae, the ceiling and exchange-rate reciprocity test) was withdrawn as vacuous on 2026-08-12 before filing: shared accumulation law forces agreement, so a test that cannot fail is not a test. Its replacement carrier is the cross-class to same-class correction-exponent ratio, already on the register.",
 "totals": {
  "drafts_prepared": 69,
  "final_ready": 4,
  "working": 60,
  "design_skeleton": 5,
  "held_patent_never_uploaded": 2,
  "withdrawn_before_filing": 1,
  "submitted": 0,
  "accepted": 0,
  "resulted": 0
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "id": "arc-align-instrument--blinding-necessity-meta-analysis",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does blinding change the measured answer? A registered meta-analysis of blinding deltas across an independent research p",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 4",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d1fc985cad82bc610f83",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "arc-align-instrument--depth-control-equivalence",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Are Reasoning-Depth Controls Comparable Across Providers? A Realised-Use Equivalence Study of",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 6",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d1fd64c61981788d2772",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "arc-align-instrument--human-scorer-validation",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Human-expert validation of the ARC-Align misalignment scorer: agreement, bias and failure modes",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 6",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d1fed8323e39784b2b67",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "arc-align-instrument--misalignment-index-validation",
   "tier": "final-ready",
   "hypothesis": "Does an AI Misalignment Index Distinguish Integrity Failure From Ordinary Incompetence? A",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d1ff3823879c1c8d2774",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-c--pnp-construct-validation",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does the Polymathic Neurodivergent Profile Survive Its Own Abandonment Conditions? A Preregistered Incremental-Validity ",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20025110c7b4e52aa59",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-eden-vision--tradition-coverage",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does the Coverage Figure Hold? A Blind-Coded Content Analysis of Wisdom-Tradition Commitments With a Pre-Frozen Traditio",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2029867e914d950bb54",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-foundational--cross-domain-exponent",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does One Exponent Family Span Unrelated Domains? A Cross-Domain Test With a Registered Domain-Shuffling Null",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d202885164265c96c4ba",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-hrih--registered-prediction-ledger",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Can the Creation Hypothesis Be Adjudicated? A Frozen Prediction Ledger With Pre-Committed Criteria, Deadlines and a Fals",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d203fa672400004b2b87",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-i--recursive-depth-exponent",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Is the Recursive-Depth Exponent Greater Than One? A Prospective Estimation of alpha in U = I x R^alpha With a Registered",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20467275dc5b9b5a6b5",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-ii--multi-domain-extension",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Domain generality of the sequential-recursion advantage: coding, scientific reasoning and natural language",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 6",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2064fb5438e04611052",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-ii--token-calibrated-reanalysis",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Token-calibrated re-analysis of the capability-compute exponents",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 5",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2062067a2a07e4b2b8a",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-iii--alignment-exponent-reassessment",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Is the Alignment Scaling Exponent Approximately Zero? A Preregistered Re-estimation From the Programme's Own Six-Model B",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2089a3de8312952aa5a",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-iv-a--response-class-stability",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Are the Alignment Response Classes Real? A Split-Half and Repeat-Run Stability Test of a Three-Class Partition",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20925110c7b4e52aa5b",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-iv-b--saturation-shape",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Do Alignment Gains Saturate After One Increment? A Preregistered Per-Architecture Test Against a Registered Saturation T",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20a7f5a73c7ca50bb59",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-iv-c--sealed-holdout-contamination",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Are the Public Prompts Contaminated? A Preregistered Public-Versus-Sealed Comparison Using the Benchmark's Own Holdouts",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20bb7b674c3c496c4cf",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-iv-d--blinding-evaluation",
   "tier": "final-ready",
   "hypothesis": "Isolating the Cause of an Evaluation-Protocol Direction Change: A 2x2 Ablation of Source-Identifier Redaction and Respon",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20c453610b899610f6a",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-ix--status-assignment-audit",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Are the Synthesis Labels Right? A Blinded Audit of What Paper IX Calls Proven, Inconclusive and Untested",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20d7f4da8c813610f67",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-origin-scaling--frozen-exponent-ladder",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Do the Predicted Exponents Hold? A Prospective Equivalence Test of the Dimensional Ladder Against Frozen Point Predictio",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20e59f2981a244b2b71",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-v--purpose-kernel-comparison",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Task purpose against grand purpose: does the identity layer carry measurable weight?",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 4",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d20f4fb5438e04611054",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-vi--complexity-scaling-replication",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Prospective replication of the constant-advantage finding in system complexity",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 4",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2102067a2a07e4b2b8d",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-vi--honey-survival-analysis",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does Entangling Safety With Capability Extend Time to Collapse? A Preregistered Survival Analysis of Recursive Self-Modi",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2113c64a068eb96c4b3",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-vii--four-family-logarithmic-cell-test",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "A prospective test of the fourth Cauchy cell: does multiplicative-input, additive-output composition predict logarithmic scaling in domains never previously fitted?",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-vii--fresh-domain-extension",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does the Operator Class Predict the Scaling Family Before the Data? A Stratified, Externally Classified, Cross-Library C",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d21249b47cd02fb5ab41",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-vii-c--catalogue-expansion-80-domain-test",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "A prospective test of the corrected Cauchy family classification on the eighty catalogued but never-fitted domains of the programme's expansion catalogue",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-viii--weight-level-replication",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does Removing Integrity Structure Cost Capability at the Weight Level? An Adequately Powered Replication With a Register",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2132d82d64329610f64",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-x--coupled-coscaling-correction",
   "tier": "final-ready",
   "hypothesis": "Does Correction Out-Scale Drift? A Prospective Within-Programme Test of the Co-Scaling Stability Condition in Artefact-M",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d21500bbdfb714b5a6a9",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-xi--convergence-independence-audit",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "How Many of the Convergences Are Independent? A Blinded, Frozen-Criterion Audit of the ARC/Eden Convergence Set",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2176815e521f350bb45",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "paper-xii--public-benchmark-rescoring",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does the Blinding Effect Survive on Someone Else's Benchmark? A Preregistered Rescoring of an Established Public Benchma",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d218b4a38bc4f696c4a6",
   "family": "",
   "url": "/research/papers/paper-xii-public-benchmark-rescoring.html"
  },
  {
   "id": "study-a--alignment-capability-scaling",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does Alignment Scale With Capability? A Cross-Sectional Test Across Frontier Model Families",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d219b7b674c3c496c4d3",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-aa--substrate-ceiling-on-correction",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Can a Corrector Out-Scale Its Own Substrate? A Preregistered Test of the Substrate Ceiling on",
   "analysis_frozen": "yes, at draft",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d21af7d90945274b2b7d",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-ab--self-acceleration-exponent",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "How Fast Do Self-Improving Systems Compress Their Own Iteration Time? A Preregistered Estimation of",
   "analysis_frozen": "yes, at draft",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d21cfa672400004b2b8a",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-ac--corrector-class-audit",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "What Class of Corrector Is Deployed AI Alignment Actually Using? A Preregistered Classification",
   "analysis_frozen": "yes, at draft",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d21df340fda796b5aa38",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-ad--correction-exponent-estimation",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Estimating the Correction Exponent on Real Correctors: How Corrective Strength Actually Grows with the Capability of the System Being Corrected",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-ae--ceiling-exchange-rate-reciprocity",
   "tier": "withdrawn-before-filing",
   "hypothesis": "Withdrawn 2026-08-12 before filing as vacuous: shared accumulation law forces agreement, so the test cannot fail. The cross-class ratio carries the unification instead.",
   "analysis_frozen": "withdrawn 2026-08-12",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: withdrawn 2026-08-12",
   "draft_id": "6a78ac980cca754b791f09c9",
   "family": "consumes ad and k",
   "withdrawn": {
    "date": "2026-08-12",
    "reason": "vacuous: shared accumulation law forces agreement",
    "replacement_carrier": "the cross-class to same-class correction-exponent ratio, already on the register. Under the exchangeability null its expected value is exactly 1.00 (architecture-blind averaging has no free parameter for composition class); the framework says materially above 1.00. Two predicted numbers for one measurable quantity, one law with two consequences instead of one number with two jobs.",
    "supersedes_test": "one number doing two jobs, measured two independent ways, and the answers must agree"
   }
  },
  {
   "id": "study-af--gamma-monotonicity",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The Sign of the Correction Exponent's Derivative in Capability: A Prospective Estimation of Whether the ARC Ceiling Is a Line or a Cliff",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-ag--two-derivation-divergence",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Two Routes to One Ceiling: A Prospective Same-System Test That the Growth Exponent Sustained by the Leverage Fraction Respects the Ceiling Set by the Correction Exponent",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-ah--correlated-failure-same-substrate",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Do Same-Substrate Correctors Share Blind Spots? A Prospective Test of the Independence Premise Behind the Ceiling's `gamma_C = 1/2`, With a Cross-Substrate Attribution Contrast, on Future Operation of a Separate System",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-ai--boundary-mapping-alpha-gamma-frontier",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Mapping the Stability Frontier: Does the Boundary of Stable Self-Correction in the (alpha, gamma) Plane Follow the Reciprocal-Shortfall Law?",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-aj--balance-exponent-in-genomes",
   "tier": "design-skeleton",
   "hypothesis": "study-aj · The Balance Exponent in Genomes",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-ak--balance-exponent-in-science",
   "tier": "design-skeleton",
   "hypothesis": "study-ak · The Balance Exponent in Science",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-al--cross-substrate-margin-graduation",
   "tier": "design-skeleton",
   "hypothesis": "study-al · The Cross-Substrate Margin: the Graduation Test",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-am--form-discrimination-away-from-half",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Discriminating the Ceiling's Functional Form Away From One Half: A Prospective Three-Way Test of 1/(1 - gamma) Against 1/gamma Against a Constant Boundary on Systems Whose Correction Exponent Is Engineered Off the Meeting Point",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-d--embedded-vs-external-correction",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does External Oversight Degrade With Recursive Depth While Embedded Correction Holds? A Preregistered Depth-Interaction ",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d21f1b4f64981996c4b4",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-e--recursion-form-scaling",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Sequential Versus Parallel Recursion at Matched Compute: A Preregistered Test of Form-Dependent Capability Scaling",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2202d82d64329610f65",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-eclipse--gamma-ratio-direct",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The Corrector-Class Contrast: A Preregistered Matched Comparison of Residual-Error Decay Under Same-Class and Cross-Class Oversight",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-eclipse-m--family-ratio-grid",
   "tier": "design-skeleton",
   "hypothesis": "study-eclipse-m: the family ratio grid (registered follow-up of study-eclipse)",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-eden--gate-position-and-organism",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does It Matter Where the Gate Sits? A Preregistered Within-System Test of Pre-Computation Versus Post-Computation Alignm",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2228688cd0bf496c4b1",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-eden-b--check-evaluability-taxonomy",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Can Alignment Be Embedded? A Blinded Evaluability Classification of Fifty Alignment Checks Across Three Deployed Systems",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d22467275dc5b9b5a6b6",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-f--critical-correction-ratio",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The Critical Correction Ratio: A Preregistered Titration of How Much Integrity Correction Is Required to Bound Drift in ",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2270e0d3236bc50bb5a",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-g--genesis-priority-and-identity-persistence",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Genesis Priority and Identity Framing: A Preregistered Test of Whether Value Position and Value Form Change Behavioural ",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2295896dfd1708d2777",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-h--arc-align-incremental-validity",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Incremental Predictive Validity of Depth-Derivative Alignment Measurement Over Static Benchmark Scores",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d22b6f6d97c8aa52aa85",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-i--load-bearing-integrity",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The Load-Bearing Test: A Preregistered Ablation Asymmetry Study of Whether Integrity Structure Contributes to or Subtrac",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d22dffd79bca778d2773",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-j--repurposing-resistance",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Repurposing Resistance: A Preregistered Measurement of Whether Benign Capability Survives Adversarial Removal of Safety ",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d22f3823879c1c8d2778",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-k--arc-bound",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The Critical Reinvestment Ratio: A Preregistered Titration of Where Self-Referential Improvement Stops Paying in Recursi",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d231a26c3dc21bb5a6b6",
   "family": "feeds study-ae reciprocity"
  },
  {
   "id": "study-k2--co-correction-stability",
   "tier": "design-skeleton",
   "hypothesis": "study-k2: the stable-growth threshold under co-correction (design skeleton v0.1)",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-l--allocation-governor",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The Allocation Governor: A Preregistered Test of Whether Enforced Integrity Correction Caps the Capability Exponent by C",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d23576d2677eea610f67",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-legal-a--citation-proposition-support",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Does the Case Say What It Is Cited For? A Preregistered Three-Arm Benchmark of Citation-Proposition Support Validation A",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d23a53a69f418350bb6b",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-m--cross-domain-stability-window",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The Stability Window: A Preregistered Cross-Domain Test of Whether Persisting Systems Share a Bounded Growth Exponent",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d23c4fb5438e0461105b",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-n--self-maintained-correction",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Self-Maintained Correction: A Preregistered Test of Whether Genesis Framing Changes the Correction Share a System Select",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d23e9726ef7c574b2b98",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-o--organism-and-venation-scaling",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Registered tests of the programme's scaling predictions in leaf venation and in effectively one-dimensional organisms",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 6",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d242409430309c4b2ba9",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-r--reinforcement-co-scaling",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Reinforcement Co-Scaling: A Preregistered Test of Whether the Reinforcement Frequency Required to Hold a Stated Value Ri",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 4",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d24deebac3df658d2788",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-s5--time-crystal-exponent",
   "tier": "final-ready",
   "hypothesis": "Super-Linear Coherence Scaling in a Classical Time Crystal: A Preregistered Analysis Plan for an Existing, Unaccessed Da",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "data pre-exist; registered analysis not run",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2539a3de8312952aa64",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-t--acoustic-time-crystal-form-and-engine",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The acoustic time crystal as the ARC framework's physics cross-over: registered form discrimination, the transient engine exponent, the zero-factor dose-response, and the activity-drag boundary",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-u--genesis-governor-unification",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "The Genesis-Governor Unification Test: A Preregistered Factorial Test of Whether Co-Scaling Correction and Identity-Fram",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d255a30ac8aed48d2778",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-v--alignment-drift-without-embedded-constraint",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Alignment Drift Without Embedded Constraint: A Registered Test of a Printed Quantitative Prediction, With Its Hardware C",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 5",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d259a8ae96e63252aa6f",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-w--self-replication-programme",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Self-Replication of the ARC/Eden Programme: A Preregistered Re-Examination of Eleven Previously Published Results Using ",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d25baebc4ee0658d277e",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-x--specification-curve",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Specification-Curve Analysis of the ARC/Eden Corpus: How Much of Each Published Result Depends on Analytic Choices",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d25e4fb5438e0461105f",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-y--cross-family-rescoring",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Cross-Family Re-Scoring of the ARC/Eden Corpus: Does the Programme's Own Blinding Finding Overturn Its Own Earlier Resul",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 3",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2600e79f008f0b5a6ae",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "study-z--cross-tradition-ethics-kernel",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "Portability of the ethical kernel: the registered Vow against a non-sectarian kernel and against traditions other than t",
   "analysis_frozen": "open items: 4",
   "data_status": "prospective: no confirmatory data exist",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "6a77d2634ac48b2fbb4b2b63",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "theory--arc-programme-predictions",
   "tier": "working",
   "hypothesis": "ARC Programme · Theory-Level Predictions and Testable Propositions: Twenty-Two Conditional, Severable Propositions of a Recursion Framework, Its Derivation and Its Proposed Engineering, Registered Before Any Is Tested",
   "analysis_frozen": "unclassified on this index",
   "data_status": "unclassified on this index",
   "filed": "NO: private draft, operator submission pending",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "held (patent assessment)",
   "tier": "held-patent",
   "hypothesis": "Design not disclosed: this study is held under patent assessment and has never been uploaded anywhere. It is counted here so the census stays honest.",
   "analysis_frozen": "held",
   "data_status": "held, never uploaded, patent assessment",
   "filed": "never",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  },
  {
   "id": "held (patent assessment)",
   "tier": "held-patent",
   "hypothesis": "Design not disclosed: this study is held under patent assessment and has never been uploaded anywhere. It is counted here so the census stays honest.",
   "analysis_frozen": "held",
   "data_status": "held, never uploaded, patent assessment",
   "filed": "never",
   "draft_id": "",
   "family": ""
  }
 ],
 "redaction_note": "The two patent-held designs are counted and never disclosed; titles and identifiers withheld at source since 9 August 2026 after the receiving lane's pre-publication catch."
}