{ "$id": "eden.programme-graph-view.v2", "what_this_is": "The part of the programme graph the dashboard draws: the propositions; every study unit in the signed snapshot, once, with its links to the propositions from signed rows (decides, informs and does not decide, or its own registration names it), each with its source; the papers the units follow on; and the results already obtained with the papers they are reported in. A unit linked to no proposition is drawn beside the paper it follows on or in a foot group by kind. Generated from programme-graph.json and the signed spec by scripts/build-programme-graph-view.py; never typed. It reports states, never a favourable tally, and draws no result as deciding a proposition. Each proposition carries its register and its law with the law's basis: registered, the law the registration assigns it, or named, the law of its register named after the registration (SD-026, 24 September 2026: one law for each of the five registers), from the signed links register's law rows; the laws block lists every law in order.", "generated_from": { "graph": "research/data/programme-graph.json", "graph_sha256": "c51f52ff18b7d540be5f4f99fdf1860b427a61b966508912aaf1c5f2aaad9813", "spec": "research/data/spine/programme-spec.json", "spec_sha256": "6213fc3d61892615b8129289e9b6482d449b9653abe4ff636d9145ec936e1b3e", "snapshot": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json (each unit's anchors)", "snapshot_sha256": "2ab8f637a32ad3b13680e4abe05b23e0997961b1ea7fadedf73fceed17953c78", "links": "research/data/programme-map-links.json (each signed link's note, and the named laws' rows)", "links_sha256": "87d75e19e0b6d55c93e1df82afb0dc37fb401748e353d4c5bd9a8f1f3fdd5821" }, "drawing_contract": { "node": "data-node=\"\"", "edge": "data-edge=\"||\"", "block": " ... ", "rule": "the drawing carries exactly the view's nodes and edges" }, "counts": { "nodes": { "paper": 20, "proposition": 22, "result": 16, "unit": 76 }, "edges": { "DECIDES": 13, "DECIDES_IN_PART": 2, "DEPENDS_ON": 1, "FOLLOWS_ON": 24, "INFORMS": 33, "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES": 3, "REPORTED_IN": 16 }, "units_by_placement": { "foot": 26, "papers": 15, "predictions": 35 }, "unsigned_links_not_drawn": 0 }, "laws": [ { "law": "Law I", "register": "ARC-1", "basis": "registered", "carries": [ "P1", "P2", "P8", "P9", "P18" ], "line": 684, "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-vocabulary.json", "pointer": "groups.law[0]" } }, { "law": "Law II", "register": "ARC-2", "basis": "registered", "carries": [ "P4" ], "line": 688, "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-vocabulary.json", "pointer": "groups.law[1]" } }, { "law": "Law III", "register": "ARC-3", "basis": "registered", "carries": [ "P3", "P6", "P16", "P17", "P20", "P22" ], "line": 690, "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-vocabulary.json", "pointer": "groups.law[2]" } }, { "law": "Law IV", "register": "ARC-4", "basis": "named", "named": "2026-09-24", "directive": "SD-026 (the name: SD-028)", "carries": [ "P15" ], "line": 122, "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "laws[0]" } }, { "law": "Law V", "register": "ARC-5", "basis": "named", "named": "2026-09-24", "directive": "SD-026 (the name: SD-028)", "carries": [ "P12", "P21" ], "line": 122, "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "laws[1]" } } ], "laws_refused": [], "terms_refused": [], "foot_groups": { "instrument": [ "unit:48-arc-align-instrument", "unit:60-study-h", "unit:70-study-legal-a" ], "register": [ "unit:17-theory", "unit:74-theory-arc" ], "serves a framework outside P1 to P22": [ "unit:11-study-r", "unit:12-study-m", "unit:14-study-aa", "unit:15-study-af", "unit:22-study-i", "unit:30-study-ab", "unit:31-study-aj", "unit:32-study-ak", "unit:33-study-al", "unit:36-study-j", "unit:45-study-u", "unit:59-study-eden-b", "unit:62-study-x", "unit:63-study-z", "unit:73-study-v", "unit:76-study-x", "unit:77-study-z", "unit:78-study-ar" ], "tests a paper's claim": [ "unit:16-study-ag", "unit:20-study-t", "unit:39-study-s5" ] }, "nodes": [ { "id": "proposition:P1", "type": "proposition", "label": "P1", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p1", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-1", "law": [ "Law I" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the depth titration", "line": 838 } }, "title": "POWER-LAW CONVERSION AND RECURSIVE-DEPTH ADVANTAGE" }, { "id": "proposition:P2", "type": "proposition", "label": "P2", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p2", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-1", "law": [ "Law I" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the reinvestment-allocation titration", "line": 858 } }, "title": "THE SUSTAINABLE GROWTH PROFILE HAS AN INTERIOR MAXIMUM" }, { "id": "proposition:P3", "type": "proposition", "label": "P3", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p3", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-3", "law": [ "Law III" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the paired frontier-and-exponent unit, which measures a frontier and the correction-leverage exponent on the same system so that the two enter the comparison above as a pair", "line": 886 } }, "title": "THE CORRECTED RELATION UPPER-BOUNDS THE SUSTAINABLE FRONTIER" }, { "id": "proposition:P4", "type": "proposition", "label": "P4", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p4", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-2", "law": [ "Law II" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the stability unit, extended with the direct drift measurement and the comparison above", "line": 910 } }, "title": "CORRECTION OUT-SCALING DRIFT IS WHAT CARRIES THE ASYMPTOTIC ADVANTAGE" }, { "id": "proposition:P5", "type": "proposition", "label": "P5", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p5", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": null, "law": null, "law_basis": null, "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the coupling-identification titration, written and dated as its own unit, not registered and not run", "line": 936 } }, "title": "THE EXPONENT IS DERIVED, NOT FITTED" }, { "id": "proposition:P6", "type": "proposition", "label": "P6", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p6", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-3", "law": [ "Law III" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON A FROZEN CORRECTOR TAXONOMY", "function": "the correction-exponent estimator", "line": 968 } }, "title": "THE CORRECTION EXPONENT IS BOUNDED FOR SAME-CLASS CORRECTORS" }, { "id": "proposition:P7", "type": "proposition", "label": "P7", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p7", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": null, "law": null, "law_basis": null, "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON AN UNWRITTEN MAPPING FROM THE AUDIT'S CLASS DISTRIBUTION TO THIS PROPOSITION'S THREE VERDICTS", "function": "the corrector-class audit", "line": 982 } }, "title": "DEPLOYED CORRECTION IS OF THE WEAKER CLASS" }, { "id": "proposition:P8", "type": "proposition", "label": "P8", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p8", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-1", "law": [ "Law I" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the multi-system exponent estimation", "line": 1012 } }, "title": "MEASURED EXPONENTS EXCEED THE NULL" }, { "id": "proposition:P9", "type": "proposition", "label": "P9", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p9", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-1", "law": [ "Law I" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON A FROZEN DIMENSION-ASSIGNMENT RULE", "function": null, "line": 1028 } }, "title": "THE CROSS-DOMAIN FORM" }, { "id": "proposition:P10", "type": "proposition", "label": "P10", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p10", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": null, "law": null, "law_basis": null, "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the cross-family re-scoring unit", "line": 1040 } }, "title": "SCORER-FAMILY DEPENDENCE" }, { "id": "proposition:P11", "type": "proposition", "label": "P11", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p11", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": null, "law": null, "law_basis": null, "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": null, "line": 1056 } }, "title": "THE RESIDUAL-DECAY AND CORRECTION-CAPACITY EXPONENTS ARE NOT PRACTICALLY INTERCHANGEABLE" }, { "id": "proposition:P12", "type": "proposition", "label": "P12", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p12", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-5", "law": [ "Law V" ], "law_basis": "named", "instrument": { "token": "NONE", "blocker": null, "function": null, "line": 1070 } }, "title": "BUILD ORDER MOVES THE CORRECTION-LEVERAGE EXPONENT" }, { "id": "proposition:P13", "type": "proposition", "label": "P13", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p13", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": null, "law": null, "law_basis": null, "instrument": { "token": "NONE", "blocker": null, "function": null, "line": 1086 } }, "title": "SAME-FAMILY AUTOMATED CORRECTION UNDERPERFORMS CROSS-FAMILY AT MATCHED RESOURCES, AND THROUGH THE MEASURED ERROR CORRELATION" }, { "id": "proposition:P14", "type": "proposition", "label": "P14", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p14", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": null, "law": null, "law_basis": null, "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the blinding-evaluation design", "line": 1098 } }, "title": "GAINS SHRINK UNDER BLINDED CROSS-FAMILY SCORING" }, { "id": "proposition:P15", "type": "proposition", "label": "P15", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p15", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-4", "law": [ "Law IV" ], "law_basis": "named", "instrument": { "token": "NONE", "blocker": null, "function": null, "line": 1112 } }, "title": "EXTERNALLY INSTALLED GAINS DECAY UNDER SUBSEQUENT CAPABILITY TRAINING" }, { "id": "proposition:P16", "type": "proposition", "label": "P16", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p16", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-3", "law": [ "Law III" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON CANONICAL IDENTITY AND ON DECISIONS THE AUTHOR HAS NOT YET TAKEN", "function": "the direct boundary-mapping unit taken jointly with the exponent measurement", "line": 1134 } }, "title": "THE PROHIBITION ITSELF" }, { "id": "proposition:P17", "type": "proposition", "label": "P17", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p17", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-3", "law": [ "Law III" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the correlated-failure unit", "line": 1164 } }, "title": "PANEL CORRECTOR FAILURES ARE CONDITIONALLY INDEPENDENT ON A FROZEN FAULT SET" }, { "id": "proposition:P18", "type": "proposition", "label": "P18", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p18", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-1", "law": [ "Law I" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON A COMPOSITION-CLASSIFICATION RULE WHOSE THIRD-PARTY REPRODUCIBILITY IS UNMEASURED", "function": "the domain-catalogue units", "line": 1182 } }, "title": "THE COMPOSITION OPERATOR PREDICTS THE FAMILY" }, { "id": "proposition:P19", "type": "proposition", "label": "P19", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p19", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": null, "law": null, "law_basis": null, "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON A REGISTERED MAPPING FROM THE INTEGRITY-INDEX REGRESSION SCALE TO THE EXPONENT SCALE", "function": "the integrity-index scaling units, named here for what they measure rather than for the quantity they would need a mapping to reach", "line": 1216 } }, "title": "EXTERNAL ALIGNMENT DOES NOT SCALE WITH CAPABILITY" }, { "id": "proposition:P20", "type": "proposition", "label": "P20", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p20", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-3", "law": [ "Law III" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the form-discrimination unit", "line": 1242 } }, "title": "THE CEILING RELATION TAKES THE CORRECTED FORM" }, { "id": "proposition:P21", "type": "proposition", "label": "P21", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p21", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-5", "law": [ "Law V" ], "law_basis": "named", "instrument": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "function": "the embedded-versus-external correction designs", "line": 1268 } }, "title": "IN-LOOP CORRECTION PULLS AWAY WITH DEPTH" }, { "id": "proposition:P22", "type": "proposition", "label": "P22", "route": "/research/theory-predictions/#p22", "state": { "evidential_status": "registered, not tested", "register": "ARC-3", "law": [ "Law III" ], "law_basis": "registered", "instrument": { "token": "NONE", "blocker": null, "function": null, "line": 1300 } }, "title": "CHECKABLE CORRECTION CARRIES THE HIGHER EXPONENT, SO THE CEILING IS LOWEST WHERE THE SAFETY CLAIM LIVES" }, { "id": "unit:01-study-eclipse", "type": "unit", "label": "01", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-01-study-eclipse", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 964465, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-28", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES": [ "proposition:P13" ] }, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [ "carrier" ], "eden_protocol_by_link": { "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES": [ "carrier" ] }, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "The Corrector-Class Contrast: A Preregistered Matched Comparison of Residual-Error Decay Under Same-Class and Cross-Class Oversight" }, { "id": "unit:02-study-k", "type": "unit", "label": "02", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-02-study-k", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "proposition:P2" ], "INFORMS": [ "proposition:P1", "proposition:P8" ] }, "laws": [ "Law I" ], "laws_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "Law I" ], "INFORMS": [ "Law I" ] }, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "The Critical Reinvestment Ratio: A Preregistered Titration of Where Self-Referential Improvement Stops Paying in Recursive Artefact Loops" }, { "id": "unit:03-study-ai", "type": "unit", "label": "03", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-03-study-ai", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-09-02", "earliest_anchor_block": 964465, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-28", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "proposition:P16" ], "INFORMS": [ "proposition:P3", "proposition:P4", "proposition:P20" ] }, "laws": [ "Law II", "Law III" ], "laws_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "Law III" ], "INFORMS": [ "Law II", "Law III" ] }, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "Mapping the Stability Frontier: Does the Boundary of Stable Self-Correction in the (alpha, gamma) Plane Follow the Reciprocal-Shortfall Law?" }, { "id": "unit:04-study-k2", "type": "unit", "label": "04", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-04-study-k2", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": null, "lodged_date": null, "earliest_anchor_block": null, "earliest_anchor_date": null, "anchor_block": null, "anchor_date": null, "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "INFORMS": [ "proposition:P3", "proposition:P4", "proposition:P16", "proposition:P20" ] }, "laws": [ "Law II", "Law III" ], "laws_by_link": { "INFORMS": [ "Law II", "Law III" ] }, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "study-k2: the stable-growth threshold under co-correction" }, { "id": "unit:05-study-ad", "type": "unit", "label": "05", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-05-study-ad", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "proposition:P6", "proposition:P11" ] }, "laws": [ "Law III" ], "laws_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "Law III" ] }, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "Estimating the Correction Exponent on Real Correctors: How Corrective Strength Actually Grows with the Capability of the System Being Corrected" }, { "id": "unit:06-study-ac", "type": "unit", "label": "06", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-06-study-ac", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "REGISTERED", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "proposition:P7" ], "INFORMS": [ "proposition:P6" ] }, "laws": [ "Law III" ], "laws_by_link": { "INFORMS": [ "Law III" ] }, "eden_protocol": [ "premise" ], "eden_protocol_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "premise" ] }, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "What Class of Corrector Is Deployed AI Alignment Actually Using? A Preregistered Classification" }, { "id": "unit:08-study-ah", "type": "unit", "label": "08", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-08-study-ah", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "proposition:P17" ], "INFORMS": [ "proposition:P6", "proposition:P22" ] }, "laws": [ "Law III" ], "laws_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "Law III" ], "INFORMS": [ "Law III" ] }, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "Do Same-Substrate Correctors Share Blind Spots? A Prospective Test of the Independence Premise Behind the Ceiling's gamma_C = 1/2, With a Cross-Substrate Attribution Contrast, on Future Operation of a Separate System" }, { "id": "unit:09-paper-x", "type": "unit", "label": "09", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-09-paper-x", "state": { "kind": "Paper follow-on", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "proposition:P4" ] }, "laws": [ "Law II" ], "laws_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "Law II" ] }, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [ "paper:paper-x-coupled-coscaling-correction" ] }, "title": "Does Correction Out-Scale Drift? 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A Blind-Coded Content Analysis of Wisdom-Tradition Commitments With a Pre-Frozen Tradition List" }, { "id": "unit:66-paper-ii", "type": "unit", "label": "66", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-66-paper-ii", "state": { "kind": "Paper follow-on", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "INFORMS": [ "proposition:P1" ] }, "laws": [ "Law I" ], "laws_by_link": { "INFORMS": [ "Law I" ] }, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [ "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation" ] }, "title": "Domain generality of the sequential-recursion advantage: coding, scientific reasoning and natural language" }, { "id": "unit:67-paper-ii", "type": "unit", "label": "67", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-67-paper-ii", "state": { "kind": "Paper follow-on", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "papers", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [ "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation" ], "group": "tests a paper's claim" }, "title": "Token-calibrated re-analysis of the capability-compute exponents" }, { "id": "unit:68-paper-iv-b", "type": "unit", "label": "68", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-68-paper-iv-b", "state": { "kind": "Paper follow-on", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "papers", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [ "paper:paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth" ], "group": "tests a paper's claim" }, "title": "Do Alignment Gains Saturate After One Increment? A Preregistered Per-Architecture Test Against a Registered Saturation Threshold" }, { "id": "unit:69-paper-viii", "type": "unit", "label": "69", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-69-paper-viii", "state": { "kind": "Paper follow-on", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "papers", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [ "paper:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof" ], "group": "serves a framework outside P1 to P22", "framework": "the Eden Protocol" }, "title": "Does Removing Integrity Structure Cost Capability at the Weight Level? An Adequately Powered Replication With a Registered Degeneracy Gate" }, { "id": "unit:70-study-legal-a", "type": "unit", "label": "70", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-70-study-legal-a", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "foot", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [], "group": "instrument" }, "title": "Does the Case Say What It Is Cited For? A Preregistered Three-Arm Benchmark of Citation-Proposition Support Validation Against Existence-Checking" }, { "id": "unit:73-study-v", "type": "unit", "label": "73", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-73-study-v", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 962066, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-12", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "foot", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [], "group": "serves a framework outside P1 to P22", "framework": "the Eden Protocol" }, "title": "Alignment Drift Without Embedded Constraint: A Test of a Printed Quantitative Prediction, With Its Hardware Claim Explicitly Untested" }, { "id": "unit:74-theory-arc", "type": "unit", "label": "74", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-74-theory-arc", "state": { "kind": "Claims and kill-conditions register", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": "PREREGISTERED BY TIMESTAMP", "lodged_date": "2026-08-24", "earliest_anchor_block": 964465, "earliest_anchor_date": "2026-08-28", "anchor_block": 965152, "anchor_date": "2026-09-02", "placement": "foot", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [], "group": "register" }, "title": "The ARC Theory: Registration of Claims, Named Predictions and Kill Conditions (Theory-Level)" }, { "id": "unit:75-study-w", "type": "unit", "label": "75", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-75-study-w", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": null, "lodged_date": null, "earliest_anchor_block": null, "earliest_anchor_date": null, "anchor_block": null, "anchor_date": null, "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES": [ "proposition:P12" ], "DEPENDS_ON": [ "proposition:P15" ] }, "laws": [ "Law IV", "Law V" ], "laws_by_link": { "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES": [ "Law V" ], "DEPENDS_ON": [ "Law IV" ] }, "eden_protocol": [ "carrier" ], "eden_protocol_by_link": { "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES": [ "carrier" ], "DEPENDS_ON": [ "carrier" ] }, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "Value Sequencing at Constant Content: Does Material Placed Early in Training Persist Better Than the Same Material Placed Late" }, { "id": "unit:76-study-x", "type": "unit", "label": "76", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-76-study-x", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": null, "lodged_date": null, "earliest_anchor_block": null, "earliest_anchor_date": null, "anchor_block": null, "anchor_date": null, "placement": "foot", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [], "group": "serves a framework outside P1 to P22", "framework": "the Eden Protocol" }, "title": "Load-Bearing Correction: Does Removing Embedded Correction Cost General Capability, and Does Removing Bolt-On Correction Not" }, { "id": "unit:77-study-z", "type": "unit", "label": "77", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-77-study-z", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": null, "lodged_date": null, "earliest_anchor_block": null, "earliest_anchor_date": null, "anchor_block": null, "anchor_date": null, "placement": "foot", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [], "group": "serves a framework outside P1 to P22", "framework": "the Eden Protocol" }, "title": "Convergent Moral Procedures and Divergent Moral Scope: A Blind Coding Study of Ethical Traditions With Independent Premises" }, { "id": "unit:78-study-ar", "type": "unit", "label": "78", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-78-study-ar", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": null, "lodged_date": null, "earliest_anchor_block": null, "earliest_anchor_date": null, "anchor_block": null, "anchor_date": null, "placement": "foot", "predictions_by_link": {}, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [], "group": "serves a framework outside P1 to P22", "framework": "the Eden Protocol" }, "title": "Adversarial Value Stability by Placement: Does Embedded Correction Hold Under Attack Where Bolt-On Correction Fails" }, { "id": "unit:79-study-cp", "type": "unit", "label": "79", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-79-study-cp", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": null, "lodged_date": null, "earliest_anchor_block": null, "earliest_anchor_date": null, "anchor_block": null, "anchor_date": null, "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "DECIDES": [ "proposition:P5" ] }, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "Coupling Identification by a Crossed Capability and Retention Bank: Measuring the Self-Referential Coupling Independently of the Growth Curve, and Predicting That Curve Before It Exists" }, { "id": "unit:80-study-cq", "type": "unit", "label": "80", "route": "/research/preregistrations/#study-80-study-cq", "state": { "kind": "Study", "registration_state": "DESIGN DRAFT", "timestamp_state": null, "lodged_date": null, "earliest_anchor_block": null, "earliest_anchor_date": null, "anchor_block": null, "anchor_date": null, "placement": "predictions", "predictions_by_link": { "INFORMS": [ "proposition:P10", "proposition:P14" ] }, "laws": [], "laws_by_link": {}, "eden_protocol": [], "eden_protocol_by_link": {}, "hrih": [], "follows_on": [] }, "title": "Blinding Integrity Calibration: Measuring the Effect of a Displayed Label on a Judged Score, and the Recoverability of Provenance, on an Immutable Answer Bank" }, { "id": "paper:eden-vision", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper F3", "route": "/research/papers/eden-vision", "state": { "version": "2.6" }, "title": "Philosophical Statement · The ARC Theory · The Eden Protocol · A Vision for Intelligence That Tends Rather Than Consumes" }, { "id": "paper:foundational", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper F1", "route": "/research/papers/foundational", "state": { "version": "v5.0" }, "title": "Foundational Paper · The ARC Theory · Law I, the ARC Principle · Recursive Amplification as a Cross-Domain Structural Principle" }, { "id": "paper:hrih-paper", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper HRIH", "route": "/research/papers/hrih-paper", "state": { "version": "v3.49" }, "title": "Monograph · The ARC Theory · The Hyperspace Recursive Intelligence Hypothesis: a Testable Creation Theory" }, { "id": "paper:on-the-origin-of-scaling-laws", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper F2", "route": "/research/papers/on-the-origin-of-scaling-laws", "state": { "version": "v3.1" }, "title": "Framework Paper · The ARC Theory · Law I, the ARC Principle · On the Origin of Scaling Laws: Functional Equations and the Scaling Forms Behind the Law" }, { "id": "paper:paper-c-pnp", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper C", "route": "/research/papers/paper-c-pnp", "state": { "version": "v1.6" }, "title": "Paper C · Standalone · Polymathy and Neurodivergent Cognition: the Polymathic Neurodivergent Profile (PNP) and the Capability-Adjustment Fallacy" }, { "id": "paper:paper-i-arc-principle", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper I", "route": "/research/papers/paper-i-arc-principle", "state": { "version": "1.2" }, "title": "Paper I · The ARC Theory · Law I, the ARC Principle · The ARC Equation, the Law of Conversion" }, { "id": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper II", "route": "/research/papers/paper-ii-experimental-validation", "state": { "version": "13.0" }, "title": "Paper II · The ARC Theory · Law I, the ARC Principle · Blinded Cross-Architecture Replication and the Retraction of a Super-Linear Estimate" }, { "id": "paper:paper-iii-alignment-scaling-problem", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper III", "route": "/research/papers/paper-iii-alignment-scaling-problem", "state": { "version": "1.10" }, "title": "Paper III · The ARC Theory · Law II, the ARC Co-Scaling Law · The Alignment Scaling Problem: Why External AI Safety Approaches Cannot Scale With Recursive Capability" }, { "id": "paper:paper-iv-a-baked-in-vs-computed-alignment", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper IV.a", "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-a-baked-in-vs-computed-alignment", "state": { "version": "v1.5" }, "title": "Paper IV.a · The ARC Theory · Alignment Response Classes Under Inference-Time Depth" }, { "id": "paper:paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper IV.b", "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth", "state": { "version": "v1.5" }, "title": "Paper IV.b · The ARC Theory · Alignment Saturation Is Architecture-Dependent" }, { "id": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper IV.c", "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark", "state": { "version": "v1.6" }, "title": "Paper IV.c · The ARC Theory · ARC-Align: a Blind Benchmark for Depth-Variable AI Alignment Evaluation" }, { "id": "paper:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper IV.d", "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation", "state": { "version": "2.3" }, "title": "Paper IV.d · The ARC Theory · The Effect of Blinding on AI Alignment Evaluation" }, { "id": "paper:paper-ix-synthesis-and-roadmap", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper IX", "route": "/research/papers/paper-ix-synthesis-and-roadmap", "state": { "version": "v2.1" }, "title": "Paper IX · The ARC Theory · Synthesis and Roadmap" }, { "id": "paper:paper-v-stewardship-gene", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper V", "route": "/research/papers/paper-v-stewardship-gene", "state": { "version": "v1.5" }, "title": "Paper V · The ARC Theory · The Eden Protocol · The Stewardship Gene: Stakeholder Care as a Probe of Embedded Values" }, { "id": "paper:paper-vi-honey-architecture", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper VI", "route": "/research/papers/paper-vi-honey-architecture", "state": { "version": "v3.5" }, "title": "Paper VI · The ARC Theory · The Eden Protocol · The Honey Architecture: Safety Built into the Objective" }, { "id": "paper:paper-vii-cauchy-unification", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper VII", "route": "/research/papers/paper-vii-cauchy-unification", "state": { "version": "v3.10" }, "title": "Paper VII · The ARC Theory · Law I, the ARC Principle · Cauchy Unification: the Classification Behind the Law’s Form" }, { "id": "paper:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper VIII", "route": "/research/papers/paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof", "state": { "version": "v3.2" }, "title": "Paper VIII · The ARC Theory · Law V, the ARC Embedding Law · The Eden Protocol · The Load-Bearing Test: Whether Safety and Capability Are Structurally Entangled" }, { "id": "paper:paper-x-coupled-coscaling-correction", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper X", "route": "/research/papers/paper-x-coupled-coscaling-correction", "state": { "version": "v1.9" }, "title": "Paper X · The ARC Theory · Law II, the ARC Co-Scaling Law · Correction That Out-Scales Drift" }, { "id": "paper:paper-xi-convergence", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper XI", "route": "/research/papers/paper-xi-convergence", "state": { "version": "v1.8" }, "title": "Paper XI · The ARC Theory · Law I, the ARC Principle · Convergent Evidence for Recursive Amplification: a Graded Cross-Domain Register" }, { "id": "paper:paper-xii-public-benchmark-rescoring", "type": "paper", "label": "Paper XII", "route": "/research/papers/paper-xii-public-benchmark-rescoring", "state": { "version": "v1.10" }, "title": "Paper XII · The ARC Theory · Public Benchmark Rescoring: an External-Validity Protocol for the Blinding Finding" }, { "id": "result:paper-ii-experimental-validation#1", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-ii-experimental-validation", "state": { "gold_rank": 1, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation" }, "text": "α_parallel ≈ 0 in every model measured with one exception (Gemini 3 Flash α_par = 0.31, r² = 0.93); parallel is the strongest replicated finding" }, { "id": "result:paper-ii-experimental-validation#4", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-ii-experimental-validation", "state": { "gold_rank": 2, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation" }, "text": "Four distinct scaling behaviours identified: ceiling (Grok, DeepSeek), monotonic scaling (Gemini), step function (GPT-5.4 - 50%→100% binary switch), floor (Qwen3 ~50%)" }, { "id": "result:paper-ii-experimental-validation#5", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-ii-experimental-validation", "state": { "gold_rank": 3, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation" }, "text": "Only 1 of 5 tier-2 models (Gemini 3 Flash) produced clean, monotonic, non-ceiling, non-floor scaling data amenable to power-law fitting" }, { "id": "result:paper-iv-b#0", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth", "state": { "gold_rank": 4, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth" }, "text": "Alignment response to inference-time depth is heterogeneous across architectures: no single universal saturation law fits" }, { "id": "result:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark#0", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark", "state": { "gold_rank": 5, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark" }, "text": "Three-tier alignment scaling hierarchy across six frontier models (2,722 entries in the archived final files (2,170 consensus-scored; 2,549 as first counted on 12 March 2026)): Tier 1 positive scaling for Grok 4.1 Fast (Cohen's d = +1.38, p < 0.000001), Claude Opus 4.6 (d = +1.27, p = 0.000001), and Groq Qwen3 (d = +0.84, p = 0.007)" }, { "id": "result:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark#1", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark", "state": { "gold_rank": 6, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark" }, "text": "Tier 2 flat or null response for GPT-5.4 (d = -0.08, p = 0.40) and DeepSeek V3.2 (d = -0.07, p = 0.92)" }, { "id": "result:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark#2", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark", "state": { "gold_rank": 7, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark" }, "text": "Tier 3 negative scaling for Gemini 3 Flash (d = -0.53, p = 0.006): the only model showing statistically significant degradation in alignment with increased depth" }, { "id": "result:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark#3", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark", "state": { "gold_rank": 8, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark" }, "text": "Inverse relationship between alignment quality and suppression vulnerability: Claude Opus at 82.6 baseline drops 20.5 points under extreme cage; GPT-5.4 loses only 1.8 points (97% retention) but has one of the lowest baselines" }, { "id": "result:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation#0", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation", "state": { "gold_rank": 9, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation" }, "text": "Under the multi-layer blind protocol (v5), DeepSeek V3.2 moved from an apparent positive result (rho = +0.354, p = 0.0007) to a flat/null result (rho = -0.135; d = -0.07, p = 0.92)." }, { "id": "result:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation#1", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation", "state": { "gold_rank": 10, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation" }, "text": "Gemini 3 Flash moved from an apparent positive result (rho = +0.275, p = 0.0001, following Papers IV.a and IV.b) to a significantly negative result (rho = -0.246; d = -0.53, p = 0.006), a sign reversal." }, { "id": "result:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation#2", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation", "state": { "gold_rank": 11, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation" }, "text": "GPT-5.4 remained flat under both protocols (v4 flat/null; v5 rho = +0.033, d = -0.08, p = 0.40) and functions as an internal null-control case." }, { "id": "result:paper-v-stewardship-gene#0", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-v-stewardship-gene", "state": { "gold_rank": 12, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-v-stewardship-gene" }, "text": "Stakeholder care improved significantly in all five analysable model runs under paired testing: Claude +3.17 (p = 0.000018, d = 0.94); DeepSeek +6.03 (p = 0.000098, d = 0.69); Gemini +13.50 (p = 1.2 x 10^-8, d = 1.14); Grok +5.04 (p = 0.0105, d = 0.54); Groq +8.90 (p = 5.0 x 10^-8, d = 1.07)." }, { "id": "result:paper-v-stewardship-gene#1", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-v-stewardship-gene", "state": { "gold_rank": 13, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-v-stewardship-gene" }, "text": "Overall composite improvement was architecture-dependent: significant on Gemini (+5.33, p = 0.0018, d = 0.53) and Groq (+4.93, p = 0.0014, d = 0.55); positive but non-significant on DeepSeek (+2.02) and Claude (+0.17); neutral on Grok (-0.04)." }, { "id": "result:paper-v-stewardship-gene#3", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-v-stewardship-gene", "state": { "gold_rank": 14, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-v-stewardship-gene" }, "text": "Stakeholder care is the only pillar that reaches statistical significance across all five analysable model runs." }, { "id": "result:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof#1", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof", "state": { "gold_rank": 15, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof" }, "text": "Experiment 1 (DGM v3, DeepSeek V3.2 foundation, GPT-5.4 blinded judge; three conditions with 5 seeds and 5 generations gave 75 evolved agents, each scored on 5 tasks): Static, Babylon and Eden statistically indistinguishable on capability, safety and C x S (Mann-Whitney U one-tailed p-values 0.28 to 0.74); Eden's safety gate rejected 2 degraded agents including 1 flagged for reward hacking" }, { "id": "result:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof#2", "type": "result", "label": null, "route": "/research/papers/paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof", "state": { "gold_rank": 16, "measured_before_registration": true, "paper": "paper:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof" }, "text": "Experiment 2 (Qwen 2.5 3B Instruct with LoRA, three loss functions capability-only / safety-only / entangled): catastrophic forgetting at both v1 scale (9 examples, rank 8, 8 layers, 100 iterations) and v2 scale (295 examples, rank 16, 16 layers, 500 iterations); all fine-tuned conditions scored below the unmodified base model on capability; v2 base 7.68 vs best fine-tuned safety-only 4.00" } ], "edges": [ { "from": "unit:02-study-k", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P2", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[1].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "line": 858 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:03-study-ai", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P16", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[2].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON CANONICAL IDENTITY AND ON DECISIONS THE AUTHOR HAS NOT YET TAKEN", "line": 1134 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:05-study-ad", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P6", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[4].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON A FROZEN CORRECTOR TAXONOMY", "line": 968 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:05-study-ad", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P11", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[4].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "line": 1056 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:06-study-ac", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P7", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[5].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON AN UNWRITTEN MAPPING FROM THE AUDIT'S CLASS DISTRIBUTION TO THIS PROPOSITION'S THREE VERDICTS", "line": 982 }, "basis": "registration" }, { 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{ "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "line": 1040 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:29-study-a", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P19", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[27].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT, BLOCKED", "blocker": "BLOCKED ON A REGISTERED MAPPING FROM THE INTEGRITY-INDEX REGRESSION SCALE TO THE EXPONENT SCALE", "line": 1216 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:41-study-d", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P21", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[39].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "line": 1268 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:53-paper-iv-d", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P14", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[50].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "line": 1098 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:79-study-cp", "type": "DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P5", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[74].decides" }, "state": { "token": "DESIGN DRAFT", "blocker": null, "line": 936 }, "basis": "registration" }, { "from": "unit:21-paper-origin-scaling", "type": "DECIDES_IN_PART", "to": "proposition:P9", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.21-paper-origin-scaling.links[0]" }, "basis": "registration", "line": 1028 }, { "from": "unit:38-study-o", "type": "DECIDES_IN_PART", "to": "proposition:P9", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.38-study-o.links[0]" }, "basis": "registration", "line": 1028 }, { "from": "unit:01-study-eclipse", "type": "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P13", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.01-study-eclipse.links[0]" }, "basis": "registration", "line": 1086, "relation_id": "E028" }, { "from": "unit:42-study-eden", "type": "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P12", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.42-study-eden.links[0]" }, "basis": "registration", "line": 1070, "relation_id": "E029" }, { "from": "unit:75-study-w", "type": "INFORMS_NOT_DECIDES", "to": "proposition:P12", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.75-study-w.links[0]" }, "basis": "registration", "line": 1070, "relation_id": "E029" }, { "from": "unit:02-study-k", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P1", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.02-study-k.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 48, "note": "an input that decides neither P1 nor P8" }, { "from": "unit:02-study-k", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P8", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.02-study-k.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 48, "note": "an input that decides neither P1 nor P8" }, { "from": "unit:03-study-ai", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P3", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.03-study-ai.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 113, "note": "supplies the crossed variation this prediction waits on, a precondition and not the instrument" }, { "from": "unit:03-study-ai", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P4", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.03-study-ai.links[2]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 89, "note": "classifies each cell's burden regime; the check is scored on the stability unit's reading" }, { "from": "unit:03-study-ai", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P20", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.03-study-ai.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 85, "note": "reads the form contrast; the registration reserves the verdict for another unit" }, { "from": "unit:04-study-k2", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P3", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.04-study-k2.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 51, "note": "compares the frontier with the relation's value; not P3's paired unit, no paired-difference rule" }, { "from": "unit:04-study-k2", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P4", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.04-study-k2.links[2]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 25, "note": "the burden-model check in its second coordinate, scored once on the stability unit" }, { "from": "unit:04-study-k2", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P16", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.04-study-k2.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 39, "note": "redesigns the boundary instrument whose unresolved identity blocks P16; registers no decision rule" }, { "from": "unit:04-study-k2", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P20", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.04-study-k2.links[3]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 15, "note": "locates the pressure exponent's zero crossing; corroboration only, never P20's verdict" }, { "from": "unit:06-study-ac", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P6", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.06-study-ac.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 71, "note": "freezes the scaling-axis taxonomy, a precondition only; P6's two further axes go uncoded" }, { "from": "unit:08-study-ah", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P6", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.08-study-ah.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 74, "note": "parameterises the dependence model the bound rests on, measuring no correction exponent" }, { "from": "unit:08-study-ah", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P22", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.08-study-ah.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 33, "note": "mechanism evidence only, never a test" }, { "from": "unit:10-study-f", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P4", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.10-study-f.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 65, "note": "a threshold sharpening of the drift slope, never registered as this prediction's claim" }, { "from": "unit:18-arc-align-instrument", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P14", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.18-arc-align-instrument.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 167, "note": "the scorer's agreement test, a precondition only; P14 stays untested until both tests pass" }, { "from": "unit:24-paper-i", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P1", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.24-paper-i.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 65, "note": "supplies depth exponents; no rival-form comparison, no independent-sampling arm, no decision rule" }, { "from": "unit:24-paper-i", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P8", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.24-paper-i.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 67, "note": "pooled exponent inputs only, from a three-model minimum below the eight-system floor" }, { "from": "unit:25-paper-iii", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P19", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.25-paper-iii.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 37, "note": "re-estimates the headline exponent against inference depth, not capability, on an unmapped scale" }, { "from": "unit:28-paper-xii", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P14", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.28-paper-xii.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 66, "note": "tests two-sided whether blinding shifts MT-Bench scores, not shrinkage on the published apparatus" }, { "from": "unit:34-study-e", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P1", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.34-study-e.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 66, "note": "an input to the recursion verdict only, and not the instrument the registration names" }, { "from": "unit:34-study-e", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P8", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.34-study-e.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 172, "note": "six per-system exponents to the pooled estimate, below the eight-system floor on its own" }, { "from": "unit:35-study-eclipse-m", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P13", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.35-study-eclipse-m.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 8, "note": "informs both P13 axes through a residual-decay exponent ratio, not held-out misalignment reduction" }, { "from": "unit:37-study-l", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P2", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.37-study-l.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 65, "note": "informs P2 as the registration's cited rival to an interior maximum, not P2's titration" }, { "from": "unit:38-study-o", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P18", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.38-study-o.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 227, "note": "family selection under the composition rubric for two biological cases, not P18's domain catalogue" }, { "from": "unit:43-study-g", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P12", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.43-study-g.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 67, "note": "supplies the placement contrast only, and scores in-context persistence, not the correction-leverage exponent" }, { "from": "unit:44-study-n", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P12", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.44-study-n.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 89, "note": "manipulates formation against a later rule; measures correction share, not the correction-leverage exponent" }, { "from": "unit:46-arc-align-instrument", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P14", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.46-arc-align-instrument.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 60, "note": "pools blinded minus unblinded contrasts from this programme's designs, not the published apparatus's items" }, { "from": "unit:49-arc-align-instrument", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P19", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.49-arc-align-instrument.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 168, "note": "a scorer validity test this survey's verdict waits on, and nothing about practice" }, { "from": "unit:55-paper-vii", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P18", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.55-paper-vii.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 83, "note": "the two-bit classification's accuracy only, with no third-party rater, which P18's evaluation requires" }, { "from": "unit:57-paper-vii-c", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P18", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.57-paper-vii-c.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 77, "note": "P18's test run on domains already known, which the registration never counts as evidence" }, { "from": "unit:61-study-w", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P10", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.61-study-w.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 98, "note": "bears on survival under cross-family scoring, but of fresh responses, never the frozen corpus" }, { "from": "unit:66-paper-ii", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P1", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.66-paper-ii.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 71, "note": "measures the depth-over-breadth half at matched compute only; not token-matched, not the depth titration" }, { "from": "unit:80-study-cq", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P10", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.80-study-cq.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 40, "note": "measures the own-family scoring shift on a new bank, not the programme's frozen corpus" }, { "from": "unit:80-study-cq", "type": "INFORMS", "to": "proposition:P14", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.80-study-cq.links[0]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 40, "note": "measures how a displayed own-family label shifts judged scores; re-scores no automated researcher's method" }, { "from": "unit:75-study-w", "type": "DEPENDS_ON", "to": "proposition:P15", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.75-study-w.links[1]" }, "basis": "unit-text", "line": 208, "note": "the unit depends on this prediction and is never evidence for it" }, { "from": "unit:09-paper-x", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-x-coupled-coscaling-correction", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[7]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:21-paper-origin-scaling", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:on-the-origin-of-scaling-laws", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.21-paper-origin-scaling.links[1]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:23-paper-foundational", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:foundational", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[21]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:24-paper-i", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-i-arc-principle", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[22]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:25-paper-iii", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-iii-alignment-scaling-problem", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[23]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:26-paper-vi", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-vi-honey-architecture", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[24]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:27-paper-vi", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-vi-honey-architecture", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[25]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:28-paper-xii", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-xii-public-benchmark-rescoring", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[26]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:40-paper-v", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-v-stewardship-gene", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[38]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:50-paper-hrih", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:hrih-paper", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[47]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:51-paper-iv-a", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-iv-a-baked-in-vs-computed-alignment", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[48]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:52-paper-iv-c", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[49]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:53-paper-iv-d", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[50]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:54-paper-ix", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-ix-synthesis-and-roadmap", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[51]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:55-paper-vii", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-vii-cauchy-unification", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[52]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:56-paper-vii", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-vii-cauchy-unification", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[53]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:57-paper-vii-c", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-vii-cauchy-unification", "source": { "path": "research/data/programme-map-links.json", "pointer": "units.57-paper-vii-c.links[0]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:58-paper-xi", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-xi-convergence", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[55]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:64-paper-c", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-c-pnp", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[61]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:65-paper-eden-vision", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:eden-vision", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[62]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:66-paper-ii", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[63]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:67-paper-ii", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[64]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:68-paper-iv-b", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[65]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "unit:69-paper-viii", "type": "FOLLOWS_ON", "to": "paper:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof", "source": { "path": "research/data/public-programme-snapshot.json", "pointer": "studies[66]" }, "basis": "name join" }, { "from": "result:paper-ii-experimental-validation#1", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation" }, { "from": "result:paper-ii-experimental-validation#4", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation" }, { "from": "result:paper-ii-experimental-validation#5", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-ii-experimental-validation" }, { "from": "result:paper-iv-b#0", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-iv-b-alignment-saturation-at-low-depth" }, { "from": "result:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark#0", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark" }, { "from": "result:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark#1", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark" }, { "from": "result:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark#2", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark" }, { "from": "result:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark#3", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-iv-c-arc-align-benchmark" }, { "from": "result:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation#0", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation" }, { "from": "result:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation#1", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation" }, { "from": "result:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation#2", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-iv-d-the-effect-of-blinding-on-ai-alignment-evaluation" }, { "from": "result:paper-v-stewardship-gene#0", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-v-stewardship-gene" }, { "from": "result:paper-v-stewardship-gene#1", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-v-stewardship-gene" }, { "from": "result:paper-v-stewardship-gene#3", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-v-stewardship-gene" }, { "from": "result:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof#1", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof" }, { "from": "result:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof#2", "type": "REPORTED_IN", "to": "paper:paper-viii-the-load-bearing-proof" } ], "informing_named_by_registration_only": [], "informing_note": "What the registration says informs a proposition without deciding it, in its own words, where no signed row yet names the unit; drawn once a signed row names it (for example eclipse and P13, line 1086), and no longer listed once a signed row reads the same line for the same proposition, whatever type that reading gives (P9, line 1028: units 21 and 38 decide it in part), or once the signed register rules that the map never prints it (P15, line 1112)." }