{
  "title": "The ARC Theory",
  "version": "4.3",
  "date": "2026-08-16",
  "edition": "author-review draft",
  "canonical": false,
  "deposited": false,
  "scientific_status": "unconfirmed research programme",
  "submitted_registrations": 0,
  "decisive_results": 0,
  "independent_replications": 0,
  "standing_headline_retractions": 1,
  "reported_private_draft_protocols": 60,
  "inventory_status": "reconciliation required before publication",
  "v4_3_candidate_protocols_submitted": 0,
  "v4_3_candidate_tests_run": 0,
  "candidate_protocol_confirmatory_outcomes_accessed_for_this_revision": 0,
  "primary_relation": "Delta = phi_Q - phi_W; equals alpha_C(chi - kappa) + eta - zeta only under the declared decomposition",
  "decomposition_identification": "alpha_C, chi, kappa, eta and zeta require crossed/off-path variation or valid instruments; a one-dimensional path identifies only phi_W, phi_Q and Delta",
  "relative_condition": "Delta > 0",
  "absolute_burden_condition": "pointwise Delta > mu only when D = E d and d is expected loss per unit of the same additive E; under unit dr cumulative convergence requires Delta > mu + 1",
  "marginal_path_condition": "phi_Q > alpha_C - 1 for relative suppression; phi_Q > alpha_C - 1 + mu for pointwise absolute suppression in a constant-elasticity regime",
  "marginal_relative_corollary": "alpha_C < (1+eta)/(1-chi), for chi < 1 and 1+eta > 0; 1/(1-chi) is the eta = 0 special case and requires a frozen equivalence band with adequate precision",
  "marginal_absolute_corollary": "alpha_C < (1+eta)/(2-chi), for chi < 2 and 1+eta > 0, only when E = C passes the product gate; 1/(2-chi) is the eta = 0 special case and requires a frozen equivalence band, adequate precision and propagated eta uncertainty",
  "law_relation": "Law III is a nested specialisation of Law II, not independent confirmation",
  "candidate_two_status": "unconfirmed relative-error point conjecture at (chi, eta) = (1/2, 0), requiring frozen joint equivalence and induced-boundary tolerances with adequate precision, joint uncertainty propagation, and canonical capability and resource ratio scales; not a universal safety ceiling",
  "paper_x_mapping": "local map only; beta_X and k are not identified with the marginal model",
  "dependence_primary_estimand": "joint associational decision requiring a positive full-distribution dependence-by-capability finite-difference interaction in a latent budget derived from a frozen monotone measurement-error model for all task-level losses, or a prespecified discrete decision-budget interaction, plus held-out predictive advantage over a dependence-free rival; causal only if dependence is randomised or validly instrumented",
  "persistence_endpoint": "three-part joint ITT decision requiring a cycle-N timing-by-recurrence interaction, cycle-N early-recurrent superiority over equal-dose late-recurrent retrofit, and superior retention or decay from Y0 through YN on externally evaluated post-enforcement target behaviour",
  "protocol_pack_status": "reconciliation framework only; no sixty-row one-to-one map supplied; no candidate is submission-ready",
  "supabase_role": "none; Git is the scientific source of record",
  "netlify_role": "deploy-preview verification only; no production deployment authorised"
}